matthew😎 — StarrLabs Research Report

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matthew😎

#Y2V0V9YGQ

Verify this player View battle history

Mode Type Brawler Period

PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW

WINS

—

DEFEATS

—

DRAWS

—

WIN RATIO

—

DIFFICULTY

Coming soon

OVERPERFORMANCE

Coming soon

TROPHIES

31338

TRACKING HISTORY

Battle activity

Daily wins, losses, and draws since tracking began.

“Time playing” here is interpreted as since tracking began (first_seen → last_update). Brawl Stars does not expose account creation time.

MISSY presenting the prediction overview

PREDICTION OVERVIEW

Did you beat the expectation?

Your overall Ladder performance belongs here. Individual battle verdicts stay in Battle history.

VICTORY SCORE61Above expectation · 120 eligible battles · High evidenceVIEW SCORE BATTLES →

7 DAYS0 modeled

ACTUAL WINS0

VS

EXPECTED WINS0

0right on expectation

0%0% modeled · 23 unmodeled

14 DAYS0 modeled

ACTUAL WINS0

VS

EXPECTED WINS0

0right on expectation

0%0% modeled · 25 unmodeled

30 DAYS85 modeled

ACTUAL WINS47

VS

EXPECTED WINS44.2

+2.8wins above expectation

51.5%51.5% modeled · 80 unmodeled

14-DAY EXPECTATION TREND0.0 winsLatest seven days versus the prior seven.

SCORE EVIDENCEWhich results moved the 30-day read?Raw result signal is actual result minus predicted win probability. V2 regularizes the complete set, so these are evidence contributions—not literal score points.

STRONGEST POSITIVEGRIFF · Knockout+0.73Won at 27%GRIFF · Knockout+0.63Won at 37%SHADE · Brawl Ball+0.62Won at 38%

STRONGEST NEGATIVENANI · Bounty-0.64Lost at 64%GRIFF · Knockout-0.64Lost at 64%GRIFF · Brawl Ball-0.62Lost at 62%

SESSION & STREAK LOG

How are your play sessions unfolding?

CURRENT STREAK1 loss

SESSIONS · 30D22A 45-minute break starts a new session.

LONGEST WIN RUN · 30D8Consecutive recorded victories.

LATEST SESSION6–612 battles · 62 min · 50% wins

Oct 10 · 01:286W · 6L12 games · 62m · BROCK, GENE, STU

Oct 07 · 09:542W · 1L3 games · 4m · KIT, MEG

Oct 06 · 11:383W · 3L6 games · 23m · BROCK, MORTIS, SURGE

Oct 03 · 22:191W · 1L2 games · 2m · MORTIS

Oct 01 · 13:281W · 1L2 games · 3m · BROCK, SPIKE

Sep 22 · 13:513W · 2L5 games · 9m · 8-BIT, BIBI, BROCK

MEETING HISTORY

Teammates, rivals & counters

Descriptive 30-day results from complete roster observations. Player identity is never fed into the prediction model.

FREQUENT TEAMMATES

TRG74%23 meetings · latest WENDY

NathanTheNeegy29%21 meetings · latest STU

Surge🔥✌️0%5 meetings · latest SURGE

n3egy0%4 meetings · latest DARRYL

Gustavo 🐸0%3 meetings · latest BROCK

ines33%3 meetings · latest BROCK

FREQUENT OPPONENTS

Brawler100%2 meetings · your observed win rate

Brawler100%2 meetings · your observed win rate

Brawler50%2 meetings · your observed win rate

Gabri375F2100%2 meetings · your observed win rate

Nefessiz kalmak100%2 meetings · your observed win rate

gg/tsmod100%2 meetings · your observed win rate

30-DAY LADDER LENSES

Where are you beating the model?

Actual wins versus expected wins, with sample-size labels.

GRIFF40 battles · Established

ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED51.4%

-0.6wins vs expected

COLT10 battles · Emerging

ACTUAL80.0%EXPECTED51.1%

+2.9wins vs expected

BROCK9 battles · Early read

ACTUAL55.6%EXPECTED51.3%

+0.4wins vs expected

SHADE8 battles · Early read

ACTUAL75.0%EXPECTED51.4%

+1.9wins vs expected

STU5 battles · Early read

ACTUAL60.0%EXPECTED55.2%

+0.2wins vs expected

COSMO4 battles · Early read

ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED53.0%

-0.1wins vs expected

NANI3 battles · Early read

ACTUAL33.3%EXPECTED59.5%

-0.8wins vs expected

8-BIT1 battles · Early read

ACTUAL0.0%EXPECTED50.0%

-0.5wins vs expected

Knockout54 battles · Established

ACTUAL61.1%EXPECTED51.6%

+5.1wins vs expected

Brawl Ball18 battles · Emerging

ACTUAL44.4%EXPECTED52.6%

-1.5wins vs expected

Bounty10 battles · Emerging

ACTUAL40.0%EXPECTED52.1%

-1.2wins vs expected

Gem Grab3 battles · Early read

ACTUAL66.7%EXPECTED54.0%

+0.4wins vs expected

Jungle Top25 battles · Established

ACTUAL68.0%EXPECTED52.8%

+3.8wins vs expected

Backyard-Bowl11 battles · Emerging

ACTUAL45.5%EXPECTED54.3%

-1.0wins vs expected

Goldarm Gulch10 battles · Emerging

ACTUAL60.0%EXPECTED49.8%

+1.0wins vs expected

Belle's Rock8 battles · Early read

ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED50.3%

-0.0wins vs expected

Please Remain Standing6 battles · Early read

ACTUAL66.7%EXPECTED54.1%

+0.8wins vs expected

Layer-Cake5 battles · Early read

ACTUAL40.0%EXPECTED54.6%

-0.7wins vs expected

Opening Move5 battles · Early read

ACTUAL40.0%EXPECTED48.4%

-0.4wins vs expected

Supercut4 battles · Early read

ACTUAL25.0%EXPECTED49.5%

-1.0wins vs expected

DATA & PROGRESSION

Context you can trust

Gap flagged

COLLECTION5m agoBattle polling · normally every 15 minutes25 recent rows carry a possible-gap flag

PROFILE SNAPSHOT85919m agoCurrent context; never backfilled onto older battlesTimestamped point-in-time source

COMPETITIVE RANKEDGOLD II · 2135 ELOSeason best: GOLD II

10/10 recent Ranked battles have honest pre-battle ELO · model pending

ACCOUNT PROGRESSION31338 trophiesBest 31338 · Prestige 7Current context—not prediction input unless captured before battle