| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 · 18:49 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Beach-Ball
|
-3 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 18:47 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Beach-Ball
|
-3 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 15:09 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.5%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 48% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +17 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 15:07 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
27.3%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability27.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.73
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 22% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 4% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 56% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 16% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +11 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 15:03 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +10 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 15:00 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.8%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability63.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.64
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | -4 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 14:58 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
30.3%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability30.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.3
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 23% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 2% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 43% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | -4 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 14:56 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability62.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +10 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 14:55 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | -4 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 14:53 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.2%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | -4 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 14:52 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +11 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 14:50 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.8%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 39% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +10 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 06:44 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.9%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability61.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.62
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-4 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 06:41 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-4 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 06:38 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability61.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+12 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 06:36 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
74.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability74.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.25
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 55% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 23% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 5% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+11 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 06:19 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
64.5%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability64.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.64
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Supercut | -2 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 06:18 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.4%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 48% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | -2 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 06:16 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +10 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 06:13 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | -3 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 06:10 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +10 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 06:09 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.9%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability36.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 3% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 37% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Supercut | -3 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 06:07 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Supercut | +10 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 06:03 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
33.6%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability33.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.34
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 24% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 3% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 46% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 24% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Supercut | -4 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 05:43 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability62.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
- | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 05:39 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +10 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 03:47 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.8%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-3 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 03:45 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+10 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 03:43 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+10 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 03:40 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-4 |