BUDDY_THE_ELF — StarrLabs Research Report

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BUDDY_THE_ELF

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Verify this player View battle history

Mode Type Brawler Period

PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW

WINS

—

DEFEATS

—

DRAWS

—

WIN RATIO

—

DIFFICULTY

Coming soon

OVERPERFORMANCE

Coming soon

TROPHIES

28772

TRACKING HISTORY

Battle activity

Daily wins, losses, and draws since tracking began.

“Time playing” here is interpreted as since tracking began (first_seen → last_update). Brawl Stars does not expose account creation time.

MISSY presenting the prediction overview

PREDICTION OVERVIEW

Did you beat the expectation?

Your overall Ladder performance belongs here. Individual battle verdicts stay in Battle history.

VICTORY SCORE49As expected · 77 eligible battles · Medium evidenceVIEW SCORE BATTLES →

7 DAYS0 modeled

ACTUAL WINS0

VS

EXPECTED WINS0

0right on expectation

0%0% modeled · 114 unmodeled

14 DAYS0 modeled

ACTUAL WINS0

VS

EXPECTED WINS0

0right on expectation

0%0% modeled · 191 unmodeled

30 DAYS76 modeled

ACTUAL WINS41

VS

EXPECTED WINS41.2

-0.2wins below expectation

16.6%16.6% modeled · 383 unmodeled

14-DAY EXPECTATION TREND0.0 winsLatest seven days versus the prior seven.

SCORE EVIDENCEWhich results moved the 30-day read?Raw result signal is actual result minus predicted win probability. V2 regularizes the complete set, so these are evidence contributions—not literal score points.

STRONGEST POSITIVECHUCK · Heist+0.63Won at 37%JACKY · Brawl Ball+0.63Won at 37%FANG · Gem Grab+0.62Won at 38%

STRONGEST NEGATIVEPENNY · Hot Zone-0.76Lost at 76%BIBI · Brawl Ball-0.69Lost at 69%CHUCK · Knockout-0.68Lost at 68%

SESSION & STREAK LOG

How are your play sessions unfolding?

CURRENT STREAK4 win

SESSIONS · 30D55A 45-minute break starts a new session.

LONGEST WIN RUN · 30D10Consecutive recorded victories.

LATEST SESSION6–39 battles · 24 min · 67% wins

Oct 08 · 15:496W · 3L9 games · 24m · GRIFF

Oct 08 · 08:561W · 3L4 games · 20m · GRIFF

Oct 07 · 22:492W · 1L3 games · 12m · GRIFF

Oct 07 · 20:3013W · 10L23 games · 73m · GRIFF, JESSIE, PENNY

Oct 07 · 15:101W · 1L2 games · 3m · DYNAMIKE

Oct 06 · 09:262W · 2L4 games · 7m · DYNAMIKE, POCO

MEETING HISTORY

Teammates, rivals & counters

Descriptive 30-day results from complete roster observations. Player identity is never fed into the prediction model.

FREQUENT TEAMMATES

TheDudeLiam63%68 meetings · latest WENDY

TK | Kuasoke45%64 meetings · latest STARR NOVA

Schreck2555%20 meetings · latest TICK

Brad60%5 meetings · latest TICK

BILLY0967%3 meetings · latest SHADE

Jakoria100%3 meetings · latest MAX

FREQUENT OPPONENTS

Brad71%7 meetings · your observed win rate

TK | Kuasoke100%6 meetings · your observed win rate

Schreck2580%5 meetings · your observed win rate

Brawler100%4 meetings · your observed win rate

Brawler67%3 meetings · your observed win rate

Brawler100%3 meetings · your observed win rate

30-DAY LADDER LENSES

Where are you beating the model?

Actual wins versus expected wins, with sample-size labels.

JACKY17 battles · Emerging

ACTUAL58.8%EXPECTED52.8%

+1.0wins vs expected

CHUCK16 battles · Emerging

ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED55.8%

-0.9wins vs expected

FANG12 battles · Emerging

ACTUAL41.7%EXPECTED49.1%

-0.9wins vs expected

FRANK7 battles · Early read

ACTUAL71.4%EXPECTED49.8%

+1.5wins vs expected

NORI7 battles · Early read

ACTUAL57.1%EXPECTED65.7%

-0.6wins vs expected

MANDY3 battles · Early read

ACTUAL33.3%EXPECTED45.8%

-0.4wins vs expected

SIRIUS3 battles · Early read

ACTUAL100.0%EXPECTED52.7%

+1.4wins vs expected

CHESTER2 battles · Early read

ACTUAL0.0%EXPECTED49.8%

-1.0wins vs expected

Brawl Ball30 battles · Established

ACTUAL60.0%EXPECTED53.8%

+1.8wins vs expected

Bounty12 battles · Emerging

ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED52.9%

-0.3wins vs expected

Heist12 battles · Emerging

ACTUAL58.3%EXPECTED54.4%

+0.5wins vs expected

Gem Grab9 battles · Early read

ACTUAL33.3%EXPECTED50.2%

-1.5wins vs expected

Hot Zone7 battles · Early read

ACTUAL42.9%EXPECTED58.0%

-1.1wins vs expected

Knockout6 battles · Early read

ACTUAL66.7%EXPECTED59.3%

+0.4wins vs expected

Sunny-Soccer14 battles · Emerging

ACTUAL57.1%EXPECTED53.3%

+0.5wins vs expected

Photic-Doom9 battles · Early read

ACTUAL55.6%EXPECTED52.6%

+0.3wins vs expected

Super-Beach7 battles · Early read

ACTUAL71.4%EXPECTED52.0%

+1.4wins vs expected

Dry-Season6 battles · Early read

ACTUAL33.3%EXPECTED49.4%

-1.0wins vs expected

Stardust-Storm5 battles · Early read

ACTUAL40.0%EXPECTED55.0%

-0.8wins vs expected

Golden Bay4 battles · Early read

ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED58.0%

-0.3wins vs expected

Grass-Knot4 battles · Early read

ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED64.0%

-0.6wins vs expected

Layer-Cake4 battles · Early read

ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED55.8%

-0.2wins vs expected

DATA & PROGRESSION

Context you can trust

Gap flagged

COLLECTION17m agoBattle polling · normally every 15 minutes25 recent rows carry a possible-gap flag

PROFILE SNAPSHOT82865m agoCurrent context; never backfilled onto older battlesTimestamped point-in-time source

COMPETITIVE RANKEDGOLD II · 2325 ELOSeason best: GOLD II

108/108 recent Ranked battles have honest pre-battle ELO · model pending

ACCOUNT PROGRESSION28772 trophiesBest 28777 · Prestige 7Current context—not prediction input unless captured before battle