| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 · 18:43 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +10 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 18:40 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | -5 | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 17:19 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 15% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 17:16 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.6%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 17:12 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.3%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 17:09 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.7%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability61.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.62
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 17:06 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 16:56 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.4%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Triple-Dribble
|
-5 | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 11:40 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
83.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability83.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.17
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 65% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 21% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 2% of model movement
|
Heist
Trophy Match
|
Jedna | +10 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 19:49 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
75.8%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability75.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.24
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 58% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Streets-with-No-Name
|
+11 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 19:46 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Streets-with-No-Name
|
+10 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 19:44 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
68.1%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability68.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.68
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 46% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Streets-with-No-Name
|
-4 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 19:42 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability61.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Streets-with-No-Name
|
+15 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 19:41 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.6%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Tread Carefully | -4 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 19:36 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
66.3%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability66.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.66
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Tread Carefully | -4 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 19:34 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
58.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability58.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.42
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Tread Carefully | +10 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 19:32 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
27.5%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability27.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.28
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 21% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 55% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 17% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
-2 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 19:30 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability62.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
+11 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 19:29 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability62.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
+10 | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 15:46 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sunny-Soccer
|
-2 | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 15:44 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability62.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sunny-Soccer
|
+10 | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 15:33 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sunny-Soccer
|
-2 | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 15:30 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
42.7%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability42.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.57
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 24% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sunny-Soccer
|
+10 | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 15:29 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sunny-Soccer
|
-2 | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 15:24 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.8%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sunny-Soccer
|
-2 | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 15:21 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
68.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability68.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.31
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 48% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 5% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sunny-Soccer
|
+13 | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 15:16 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
65.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability65.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.35
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sunny-Soccer
|
+12 | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 15:07 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sunny-Soccer
|
+11 | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 15:01 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
69.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability69.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.31
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 5% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sunny-Soccer
|
+10 | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 14:58 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sunny-Soccer
|
-2 |