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Sev.
#L8YRVQ2LC
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PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
WINS
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DEFEATS
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DRAWS
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WIN RATIO
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DIFFICULTY
Coming soon
OVERPERFORMANCE
Coming soon
TROPHIES
111634
TRACKING HISTORY

Battle activity

Daily wins, losses, and draws since tracking began.

“Time playing” here is interpreted as since tracking began (first_seen → last_update). Brawl Stars does not expose account creation time.
MISSY presenting the prediction overview
PREDICTION OVERVIEW

Did you beat the expectation?

Your overall Ladder performance belongs here. Individual battle verdicts stay in Battle history.

VICTORY SCORE75Strongly above expectation · 266 eligible battles · High evidenceVIEW SCORE BATTLES →
7 DAYS0 modeled
ACTUAL WINS0
VS
EXPECTED WINS0
0right on expectation
0%0% modeled · 86 unmodeled
14 DAYS64 modeled
ACTUAL WINS40
VS
EXPECTED WINS26.6
+13.4wins above expectation
32.0%32.0% modeled · 136 unmodeled
30 DAYS170 modeled
ACTUAL WINS95
VS
EXPECTED WINS78.7
+16.3wins above expectation
41.6%41.6% modeled · 239 unmodeled
14-DAY EXPECTATION TREND-13.2 winsLatest seven days versus the prior seven.
SCORE EVIDENCEWhich results moved the 30-day read?Raw result signal is actual result minus predicted win probability. V2 regularizes the complete set, so these are evidence contributions—not literal score points.
STRONGEST POSITIVESPIKE · Brawl Ball+0.78Won at 22%PENNY · Brawl Ball+0.65Won at 35%PENNY · Brawl Ball+0.65Won at 35%
STRONGEST NEGATIVENORI · Knockout-0.64Lost at 64%
Probability = match estimateConfidence = not separately estimated yetFreshness = prediction timestampEvidence = Victory Score support
SESSION & STREAK LOG

How are your play sessions unfolding?

CURRENT STREAK1 loss
SESSIONS · 30D78A 45-minute break starts a new session.
LONGEST WIN RUN · 30D11Consecutive recorded victories.
LATEST SESSION1–12 battles · 1 min · 50% wins
1W · 1L2 games · 1m · BROCK
2W · 0L2 games · 6m · BROCK
1W · 1L2 games · 3m · BROCK
0W · 1L1 games · 0m · BROCK
1W · 1L2 games · 1m · BROCK
2W · 1L3 games · 5m · BROCK
MEETING HISTORY

Teammates, rivals & counters

Descriptive 30-day results from complete roster observations. Player identity is never fed into the prediction model.

FREQUENT TEAMMATES
romy67%42 meetings · latest SHADE
S02B35%17 meetings · latest WENDY
! Ban®©!100%2 meetings · latest MANDY
$@nti@vit@50%2 meetings · latest SQUEAK
Baby Sister ahh50%2 meetings · latest BROCK
Chudjak-Nothing50%2 meetings · latest PIPER
FREQUENT OPPONENTS
romy100%5 meetings · your observed win rate
@gljump100%2 meetings · your observed win rate
Brawler100%2 meetings · your observed win rate
Brawler100%2 meetings · your observed win rate
Brawler100%2 meetings · your observed win rate
Brawler100%2 meetings · your observed win rate
“Counter” here means a difficult observed opponent history—not proof of causation or a model feature.
30-DAY LADDER LENSES

Where are you beating the model?

Actual wins versus expected wins, with sample-size labels.

PENNY59 battles · Established
ACTUAL64.4%EXPECTED41.3%
+13.7wins vs expected
CLANCY33 battles · Established
ACTUAL78.8%EXPECTED51.2%
+9.1wins vs expected
MINA16 battles · Emerging
ACTUAL37.5%EXPECTED48.5%
-1.8wins vs expected
NAJIA12 battles · Emerging
ACTUAL33.3%EXPECTED50.1%
-2.0wins vs expected
SPIKE12 battles · Emerging
ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED40.8%
+1.1wins vs expected
NORI8 battles · Early read
ACTUAL37.5%EXPECTED47.8%
-0.8wins vs expected
DOUG6 battles · Early read
ACTUAL66.7%EXPECTED52.3%
+0.9wins vs expected
MANDY6 battles · Early read
ACTUAL33.3%EXPECTED50.0%
-1.0wins vs expected
Brawl Ball132 battles · Established
ACTUAL60.6%EXPECTED45.5%
+19.9wins vs expected
Knockout30 battles · Established
ACTUAL30.0%EXPECTED48.7%
-5.6wins vs expected
Bounty4 battles · Early read
ACTUAL75.0%EXPECTED50.0%
+1.0wins vs expected
Gem Grab4 battles · Early read
ACTUAL75.0%EXPECTED49.9%
+1.0wins vs expected
Pinhole-Punt39 battles · Established
ACTUAL66.7%EXPECTED43.3%
+9.1wins vs expected
Super-Beach37 battles · Established
ACTUAL75.7%EXPECTED51.4%
+9.0wins vs expected
In Demand17 battles · Emerging
ACTUAL58.8%EXPECTED38.2%
+3.5wins vs expected
Bustling Business14 battles · Emerging
ACTUAL57.1%EXPECTED45.6%
+1.6wins vs expected
Belles-Rock13 battles · Emerging
ACTUAL38.5%EXPECTED48.2%
-1.3wins vs expected
Grass-Knot13 battles · Emerging
ACTUAL46.2%EXPECTED42.5%
+0.5wins vs expected
Belle's Rock6 battles · Early read
ACTUAL33.3%EXPECTED47.1%
-0.8wins vs expected
Goldarm Gulch5 battles · Early read
ACTUAL20.0%EXPECTED50.0%
-1.5wins vs expected
Only validated Ladder predictions are included. Early read means fewer than 10 battles; Emerging means 10–19.
DATA & PROGRESSION

Context you can trust

Gap flagged
COLLECTION4m agoBattle polling · normally every 15 minutes18 recent rows carry a possible-gap flag
PROFILE SNAPSHOT81263m agoCurrent context; never backfilled onto older battlesTimestamped point-in-time source
COMPETITIVE RANKEDMYTHIC II · 5449 ELOSeason best: MYTHIC II
72/72 recent Ranked battles have honest pre-battle ELO · model pending
ACCOUNT PROGRESSION111634 trophiesBest 111652 · Prestige 91Current context—not prediction input unless captured before battle