| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 · 18:06 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
42.4%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability42.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.42
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | -3 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 17:56 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
35.2%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability35.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.65
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | +10 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 17:54 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.4%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability37.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | -4 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 17:52 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 57% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | +11 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 17:50 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
35.4%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability35.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.65
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 4% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | +10 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 09:03 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.2%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability36.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | -4 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 09:01 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
19.0%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability19.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.19
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 17% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 1% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 69% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | -4 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 08:59 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | +15 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 08:58 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.9%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability37.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | -4 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 08:56 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | +11 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 08:55 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | +10 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 08:53 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.5%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability36.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | -4 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 08:51 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
35.7%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability35.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.64
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 36% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | +11 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 08:50 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.9%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 37% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | +10 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 08:47 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.5%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability36.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 37% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | -4 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 08:46 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 56% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | +10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 17:10 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
58.5%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability58.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.59
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 18% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -4 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 17:07 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.7%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 37% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +12 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 17:06 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
35.5%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability35.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.65
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 2% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +11 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 17:04 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
64.8%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability64.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.35
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 17:02 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
30.9%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability30.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.31
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 24% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 2% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 43% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -4 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 16:59 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +11 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 16:58 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.4%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability37.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 16:56 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.0%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability36.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 37% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -4 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 16:52 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 16:49 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.6%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability36.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -4 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 16:47 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
79.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability79.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.2
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 65% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 21% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 5% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 21:43 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.8%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability37.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
-4 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 21:40 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.8%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability37.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.62
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
+12 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 21:37 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.8%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability37.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.62
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
+11 |