ethanol fan — StarrLabs Research Report

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ethanol fan

#8C92QVC0

Verify this player View battle history

Mode Type Brawler Period

PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW

WINS

—

DEFEATS

—

DRAWS

—

WIN RATIO

—

DIFFICULTY

Coming soon

OVERPERFORMANCE

Coming soon

TROPHIES

67084

TRACKING HISTORY

Battle activity

Daily wins, losses, and draws since tracking began.

“Time playing” here is interpreted as since tracking began (first_seen → last_update). Brawl Stars does not expose account creation time.

MISSY presenting the prediction overview

PREDICTION OVERVIEW

Did you beat the expectation?

Your overall Ladder performance belongs here. Individual battle verdicts stay in Battle history.

VICTORY SCORE54As expected · 52 eligible battles · Medium evidenceVIEW SCORE BATTLES →

7 DAYS0 modeled

ACTUAL WINS0

VS

EXPECTED WINS0

0right on expectation

0%0% modeled · 31 unmodeled

14 DAYS0 modeled

ACTUAL WINS0

VS

EXPECTED WINS0

0right on expectation

0%0% modeled · 100 unmodeled

30 DAYS30 modeled

ACTUAL WINS15

VS

EXPECTED WINS15.8

-0.8wins below expectation

20.1%20.1% modeled · 119 unmodeled

14-DAY EXPECTATION TREND0.0 winsLatest seven days versus the prior seven.

SCORE EVIDENCEWhich results moved the 30-day read?Raw result signal is actual result minus predicted win probability. V2 regularizes the complete set, so these are evidence contributions—not literal score points.

STRONGEST POSITIVEGUS · Brawl Ball+0.58Won at 42%GUS · Brawl Ball+0.5Won at 50%GLOWY · Brawl Ball+0.5Won at 50%

STRONGEST NEGATIVEMELODIE · Brawl Ball-0.64Lost at 64%PIERCE · Bounty-0.63Lost at 63%COSMO · Gem Grab-0.5Lost at 50%

SESSION & STREAK LOG

How are your play sessions unfolding?

CURRENT STREAK1 win

SESSIONS · 30D39A 45-minute break starts a new session.

LONGEST WIN RUN · 30D6Consecutive recorded victories.

LATEST SESSION1–01 battles · 0 min · 100% wins

Oct 08 · 09:501W · 0L1 games · 0m · BERRY

Oct 06 · 14:003W · 4L7 games · 14m · BELLE, DYNAMIKE, POCO

Oct 06 · 00:370W · 1L1 games · 0m · HANK

Oct 05 · 23:141W · 4L5 games · 8m · DYNAMIKE, HANK

Oct 05 · 18:370W · 0L · 1D1 games · 0m · COLETTE

Oct 05 · 17:363W · 2L5 games · 7m · 8-BIT, FRANK, NITA

MEETING HISTORY

Teammates, rivals & counters

Descriptive 30-day results from complete roster observations. Player identity is never fed into the prediction model.

FREQUENT TEAMMATES

BIKING12350%2 meetings · latest EMZ

TTV|Fart Smella0%2 meetings · latest GUS

Toxicology100%2 meetings · latest LEON

cHaang!0%2 meetings · latest BROCK

d€unv¢¥50%2 meetings · latest SQUEAK

ironfist767650%2 meetings · latest POCO

FREQUENT OPPONENTS

Brawler100%3 meetings · your observed win rate

Brawler100%3 meetings · your observed win rate

BigLebofsky50%2 meetings · your observed win rate

Braquen50%2 meetings · your observed win rate

Brawler100%2 meetings · your observed win rate

Brawler100%2 meetings · your observed win rate

30-DAY LADDER LENSES

Where are you beating the model?

Actual wins versus expected wins, with sample-size labels.

COSMO9 battles · Early read

ACTUAL55.6%EXPECTED51.3%

+0.4wins vs expected

GUS5 battles · Early read

ACTUAL60.0%EXPECTED48.8%

+0.6wins vs expected

GLOWY2 battles · Early read

ACTUAL100.0%EXPECTED50.1%

+1.0wins vs expected

GROM2 battles · Early read

ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED50.0%

-0.0wins vs expected

NAJIA2 battles · Early read

ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED50.5%

-0.0wins vs expected

AMBER1 battles · Early read

ACTUAL0.0%EXPECTED50.0%

-0.5wins vs expected

BERRY1 battles · Early read

ACTUAL0.0%EXPECTED49.7%

-0.5wins vs expected

BROCK1 battles · Early read

ACTUAL0.0%EXPECTED49.8%

-0.5wins vs expected

Brawl Ball16 battles · Emerging

ACTUAL56.2%EXPECTED51.9%

+0.7wins vs expected

Gem Grab9 battles · Early read

ACTUAL44.4%EXPECTED53.7%

-0.8wins vs expected

Bounty5 battles · Early read

ACTUAL40.0%EXPECTED52.6%

-0.6wins vs expected

Bustling Business9 battles · Early read

ACTUAL44.4%EXPECTED50.9%

-0.6wins vs expected

Stardust-Storm4 battles · Early read

ACTUAL25.0%EXPECTED50.3%

-1.0wins vs expected

Super-Beach4 battles · Early read

ACTUAL75.0%EXPECTED55.8%

+0.8wins vs expected

Hard-Rock-Mine3 battles · Early read

ACTUAL33.3%EXPECTED50.0%

-0.5wins vs expected

Shooting-Star3 battles · Early read

ACTUAL66.7%EXPECTED54.5%

+0.4wins vs expected

Dry-Season2 battles · Early read

ACTUAL0.0%EXPECTED49.9%

-1.0wins vs expected

Sneaky-Fields2 battles · Early read

ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED49.9%

0.0wins vs expected

Double-Swoosh1 battles · Early read

ACTUAL100.0%EXPECTED82.1%

+0.2wins vs expected

DATA & PROGRESSION

Context you can trust

Gap flagged

COLLECTION2m agoBattle polling · normally every 15 minutes0 recent rows carry a possible-gap flag

PROFILE SNAPSHOT84640m agoCurrent context; never backfilled onto older battlesTimestamped point-in-time source

COMPETITIVE RANKEDSILVER II · 1040 ELOSeason best: SILVER II

5/5 recent Ranked battles have honest pre-battle ELO · model pending

ACCOUNT PROGRESSION67084 trophiesBest 67084 · Prestige 13Current context—not prediction input unless captured before battle