| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 · 17:18 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
82.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability82.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.18
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 66% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 20% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 3% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 17:15 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 17:13 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.2%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability63.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.63
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 17:11 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 07:44 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 03:01 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 13, 2026 · 21:08 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
51.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability51.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 23% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 15% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 05:16 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.8%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 05:14 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -2 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 05:10 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
41.5%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability41.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.58
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 05:07 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
39.3%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability39.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.39
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 36% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 3% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 20% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -2 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 05:06 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 05:05 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.8%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability63.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.64
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -2 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 05:03 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -2 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 05:02 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 56% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 05:01 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | - | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 04:59 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Sapphire-Plains
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 21:06 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.2%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 21:03 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 21:01 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 20:57 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability61.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 20:56 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.7%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 02:12 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.8%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 02:10 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 02:07 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 02:05 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 02:02 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 01:59 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability61.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.39
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 16% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 16:33 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 15:12 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- |