Karlovačka — StarrLabs Research Report

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Karlovačka

#82Y8RJGCQ

Verify this player View battle history

Mode Type Brawler Period

PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW

WINS

—

DEFEATS

—

DRAWS

—

WIN RATIO

—

DIFFICULTY

Coming soon

OVERPERFORMANCE

Coming soon

TROPHIES

31031

TRACKING HISTORY

Battle activity

Daily wins, losses, and draws since tracking began.

“Time playing” here is interpreted as since tracking began (first_seen → last_update). Brawl Stars does not expose account creation time.

MISSY presenting the prediction overview

PREDICTION OVERVIEW

Did you beat the expectation?

Your overall Ladder performance belongs here. Individual battle verdicts stay in Battle history.

VICTORY SCORE76Strongly above expectation · 115 eligible battles · Medium evidenceVIEW SCORE BATTLES →

7 DAYS0 modeled

ACTUAL WINS0

VS

EXPECTED WINS0

0right on expectation

0%0% modeled · 38 unmodeled

14 DAYS0 modeled

ACTUAL WINS0

VS

EXPECTED WINS0

0right on expectation

0%0% modeled · 105 unmodeled

30 DAYS81 modeled

ACTUAL WINS55

VS

EXPECTED WINS48.0

+7.0wins above expectation

34.0%34.0% modeled · 157 unmodeled

14-DAY EXPECTATION TREND0.0 winsLatest seven days versus the prior seven.

SCORE EVIDENCEWhich results moved the 30-day read?Raw result signal is actual result minus predicted win probability. V2 regularizes the complete set, so these are evidence contributions—not literal score points.

STRONGEST POSITIVEBO · Brawl Ball+0.71Won at 29%BO · Brawl Ball+0.65Won at 35%SPIKE · Knockout+0.64Won at 36%

STRONGEST NEGATIVEBO · Brawl Ball-0.89Lost at 89%BO · Brawl Ball-0.66Lost at 66%CHESTER · Brawl Ball-0.63Lost at 63%

SESSION & STREAK LOG

How are your play sessions unfolding?

CURRENT STREAK1 win

SESSIONS · 30D36A 45-minute break starts a new session.

LONGEST WIN RUN · 30D18Consecutive recorded victories.

LATEST SESSION5–49 battles · 19 min · 56% wins

Oct 08 · 15:395W · 4L9 games · 19m · AMBER, BIBI, BO

Oct 08 · 07:121W · 3L4 games · 12m · BIBI, BO, JESSIE

Oct 07 · 14:251W · 1L2 games · 2m · EDGAR, POCO

Oct 07 · 11:219W · 4L13 games · 26m · BO, BROCK, JESSIE

Oct 06 · 02:521W · 1L2 games · 8m · CORDELIUS

Oct 04 · 15:476W · 1L7 games · 11m · CORDELIUS

MEETING HISTORY

Teammates, rivals & counters

Descriptive 30-day results from complete roster observations. Player identity is never fed into the prediction model.

FREQUENT TEAMMATES

LUCIK65%54 meetings · latest NITA

RAK OSVETNIK54%26 meetings · latest SHADE

ELECTUS75%4 meetings · latest KIT

Chris._tian67%3 meetings · latest LUMI

Leon67%3 meetings · latest BROCK

cihan azize67%3 meetings · latest POCO

FREQUENT OPPONENTS

Brawler100%3 meetings · your observed win rate

HSVlad100%3 meetings · your observed win rate

@surgestars100%2 meetings · your observed win rate

Brawler100%2 meetings · your observed win rate

Brawler50%2 meetings · your observed win rate

Brawler100%2 meetings · your observed win rate

30-DAY LADDER LENSES

Where are you beating the model?

Actual wins versus expected wins, with sample-size labels.

CHESTER36 battles · Established

ACTUAL66.7%EXPECTED55.0%

+4.2wins vs expected

BO15 battles · Emerging

ACTUAL80.0%EXPECTED66.3%

+2.1wins vs expected

EDGAR10 battles · Emerging

ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED56.6%

-0.7wins vs expected

LEON5 battles · Early read

ACTUAL100.0%EXPECTED89.7%

+0.5wins vs expected

POCO5 battles · Early read

ACTUAL40.0%EXPECTED54.8%

-0.7wins vs expected

SPIKE4 battles · Early read

ACTUAL75.0%EXPECTED46.3%

+1.1wins vs expected

BIBI3 battles · Early read

ACTUAL66.7%EXPECTED61.0%

+0.2wins vs expected

COSMO2 battles · Early read

ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED50.0%

0.0wins vs expected

Brawl Ball64 battles · Established

ACTUAL65.6%EXPECTED58.1%

+4.8wins vs expected

Knockout10 battles · Emerging

ACTUAL90.0%EXPECTED70.8%

+1.9wins vs expected

Gem Grab4 battles · Early read

ACTUAL25.0%EXPECTED53.4%

-1.1wins vs expected

Bounty3 battles · Early read

ACTUAL100.0%EXPECTED55.0%

+1.4wins vs expected

Super-Beach45 battles · Established

ACTUAL62.2%EXPECTED55.6%

+3.0wins vs expected

Pinball-Dreams14 battles · Emerging

ACTUAL78.6%EXPECTED67.9%

+1.5wins vs expected

Belle's Rock4 battles · Early read

ACTUAL100.0%EXPECTED92.1%

+0.3wins vs expected

Pinhole-Punt3 battles · Early read

ACTUAL66.7%EXPECTED54.5%

+0.4wins vs expected

Double-Swoosh2 battles · Early read

ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED56.3%

-0.1wins vs expected

Dry-Season2 battles · Early read

ACTUAL100.0%EXPECTED51.0%

+1.0wins vs expected

Goldarm Gulch2 battles · Early read

ACTUAL100.0%EXPECTED77.2%

+0.5wins vs expected

Square-Off2 battles · Early read

ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED50.0%

0.0wins vs expected

DATA & PROGRESSION

Context you can trust

Gap flagged

COLLECTION6m agoBattle polling · normally every 15 minutes0 recent rows carry a possible-gap flag

PROFILE SNAPSHOT85413m agoCurrent context; never backfilled onto older battlesTimestamped point-in-time source

COMPETITIVE RANKEDGOLD III · 2566 ELOSeason best: GOLD III

49/49 recent Ranked battles have honest pre-battle ELO · model pending

ACCOUNT PROGRESSION31031 trophiesBest 31031 · Prestige 22Current context—not prediction input unless captured before battle