| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 · 13:53 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
92.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability92.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.08
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 69% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 16% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +14 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 13:52 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
92.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability92.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.08
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 65% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +13 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 13:51 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
92.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability92.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.08
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 68% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +12 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 13:50 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
91.8%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability91.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.08
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 70% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +11 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 22:51 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
80.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability80.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.2
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 56% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 24% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 2% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 22:49 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
74.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability74.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.26
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 54% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 4% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +10 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 18:24 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
43.5%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability43.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.56
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Mode and map context and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 20% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 15% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
+10 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 08:46 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
89.4%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability89.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.89
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 65% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 16% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 5% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
-2 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 08:43 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
64.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability64.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.36
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+15 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 08:40 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.1
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 68% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 3% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+14 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 08:39 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
38.3%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability38.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.62
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+13 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 08:38 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
35.1%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability35.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.65
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 2% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 44% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 20% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+12 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 08:37 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.1
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 66% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 3% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+11 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 08:34 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.1
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 68% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 1% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+10 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 08:32 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
65.8%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability65.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.66
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
-1 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 08:29 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
87.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability87.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.12
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 70% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 18% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 3% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+12 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 08:28 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.36
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 36% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+11 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 08:25 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
28.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability28.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.71
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 23% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 60% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+10 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 08:24 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.3%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability62.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.62
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 15% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
-1 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 08:23 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.36
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+14 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 08:22 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
81.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability81.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.19
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 60% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 21% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 4% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+13 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 16:14 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability62.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.62
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 36% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 16:10 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 16:07 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 16:05 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.3%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 16:03 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
51.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability51.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.48
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 15:58 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 15:56 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
70.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability70.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.29
Why this estimate?Composition matchup and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Composition matchupraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 22% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 4% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 08:31 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.3%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 4% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 08:29 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Square-Off
|
- |