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PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
WINS
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DEFEATS
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DRAWS
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WIN RATIO
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DIFFICULTY
Coming soon
OVERPERFORMANCE
Coming soon
TROPHIES
14168
TRACKING HISTORY

Battle activity

Daily wins, losses, and draws since tracking began.

โ€œTime playingโ€ here is interpreted as since tracking began (first_seen โ†’ last_update). Brawl Stars does not expose account creation time.
MISSY presenting the prediction overview
PREDICTION OVERVIEW

Did you beat the expectation?

Your overall Ladder performance belongs here. Individual battle verdicts stay in Battle history.

VICTORY SCORE77Strongly above expectation ยท 102 eligible battles ยท Medium evidenceVIEW SCORE BATTLES โ†’
7 DAYS0 modeled
ACTUAL WINS0
VS
EXPECTED WINS0
0right on expectation
0%0% modeled ยท 104 unmodeled
14 DAYS5 modeled
ACTUAL WINS3
VS
EXPECTED WINS3.0
0right on expectation
3.3%3.3% modeled ยท 145 unmodeled
30 DAYS31 modeled
ACTUAL WINS23
VS
EXPECTED WINS18.8
+4.2wins above expectation
12.0%12.0% modeled ยท 227 unmodeled
14-DAY EXPECTATION TREND+1.2 winsLatest seven days versus the prior seven.
SCORE EVIDENCEWhich results moved the 30-day read?Raw result signal is actual result minus predicted win probability. V2 regularizes the complete set, so these are evidence contributionsโ€”not literal score points.
STRONGEST POSITIVEGRIFF ยท Brawl Ball+0.58Won at 42%GRIFF ยท Brawl Ball+0.5Won at 50%DOUG ยท Brawl Ball+0.5Won at 50%
STRONGEST NEGATIVEPIERCE ยท Knockout-0.68Lost at 68%FRANK ยท Gem Grab-0.51Lost at 51%CROW ยท Gem Grab-0.5Lost at 50%
Probability = match estimateConfidence = not separately estimated yetFreshness = prediction timestampEvidence = Victory Score support
SESSION & STREAK LOG

How are your play sessions unfolding?

CURRENT STREAK1 loss
SESSIONS ยท 30D45A 45-minute break starts a new session.
LONGEST WIN RUN ยท 30D14Consecutive recorded victories.
LATEST SESSION3โ€“47 battles ยท 16 min ยท 43% wins
3W ยท 4L7 games ยท 16m ยท CHUCK, CORDELIUS, DYNAMIKE
3W ยท 1L4 games ยท 6m ยท BO, DYNAMIKE, FRANK
2W ยท 2L4 games ยท 7m ยท BROCK, NAJIA
4W ยท 3L7 games ยท 16m ยท BROCK, EDGAR, KENJI
1W ยท 0L1 games ยท 0m ยท PAM
3W ยท 0L3 games ยท 1m ยท PAM
MEETING HISTORY

Teammates, rivals & counters

Descriptive 30-day results from complete roster observations. Player identity is never fed into the prediction model.

FREQUENT TEAMMATES
Aramster100%5 meetings ยท latest LEON
ppppppppp100%5 meetings ยท latest FRANK
copperheadboy50%4 meetings ยท latest NITA
Bread Poker100%3 meetings ยท latest GRIFF
Free.BonJ100%3 meetings ยท latest RICO
MAHYAR100%3 meetings ยท latest SAM
FREQUENT OPPONENTS
Brawler80%5 meetings ยท your observed win rate
Brawler75%4 meetings ยท your observed win rate
BUZZ MรNI100%3 meetings ยท your observed win rate
Brawler67%3 meetings ยท your observed win rate
Brawler67%3 meetings ยท your observed win rate
Brawler67%3 meetings ยท your observed win rate
โ€œCounterโ€ here means a difficult observed opponent historyโ€”not proof of causation or a model feature.
30-DAY LADDER LENSES

Where are you beating the model?

Actual wins versus expected wins, with sample-size labels.

GRIFF7 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL85.7%EXPECTED53.5%
+2.3wins vs expected
DOUG5 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL80.0%EXPECTED52.2%
+1.4wins vs expected
GIGI5 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL100.0%EXPECTED89.1%
+0.5wins vs expected
PIERCE5 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL60.0%EXPECTED59.1%
0.0wins vs expected
BROCK2 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED55.7%
-0.1wins vs expected
BO1 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL100.0%EXPECTED50.0%
+0.5wins vs expected
CARL1 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL100.0%EXPECTED89.7%
+0.1wins vs expected
CROW1 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL0.0%EXPECTED50.4%
-0.5wins vs expected
Brawl Ball16 battles ยท Emerging
ACTUAL87.5%EXPECTED66.9%
+3.3wins vs expected
Bounty5 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL60.0%EXPECTED52.4%
+0.4wins vs expected
Gem Grab5 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL60.0%EXPECTED50.3%
+0.5wins vs expected
Knockout5 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL60.0%EXPECTED59.1%
0.0wins vs expected
Sneaky-Fields7 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL85.7%EXPECTED55.1%
+2.1wins vs expected
In Demand6 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL100.0%EXPECTED89.2%
+0.6wins vs expected
Goldarm Gulch3 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL100.0%EXPECTED59.1%
+1.2wins vs expected
Pinhole-Punt3 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL66.7%EXPECTED50.0%
+0.5wins vs expected
Shooting-Star3 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL66.7%EXPECTED50.3%
+0.5wins vs expected
Belle's Rock2 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL0.0%EXPECTED59.2%
-1.2wins vs expected
Hard-Rock-Mine2 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED50.6%
-0.0wins vs expected
Layer-Cake2 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED55.7%
-0.1wins vs expected
Only validated Ladder predictions are included. Early read means fewer than 10 battles; Emerging means 10โ€“19.
DATA & PROGRESSION

Context you can trust

Gap flagged
COLLECTION7m agoBattle polling ยท normally every 15 minutes0 recent rows carry a possible-gap flag
PROFILE SNAPSHOT83880m agoCurrent context; never backfilled onto older battlesTimestamped point-in-time source
COMPETITIVE RANKEDDIAMOND I ยท 3215 ELOSeason best: DIAMOND I
32/32 recent Ranked battles have honest pre-battle ELO ยท model pending
ACCOUNT PROGRESSION14168 trophiesBest 14168 ยท Prestige 5Current contextโ€”not prediction input unless captured before battle