| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 · 14:45 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
68.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability68.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.68
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | -2 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 14:44 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.4%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | -3 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 00:41 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 48% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +12 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 00:39 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
64.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability64.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.35
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +11 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 00:36 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability62.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 4% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +10 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 16:54 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
28.1%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability28.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.28
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 20% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 55% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 18% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
-2 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 16:53 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
73.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability73.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.27
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
+17 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 16:52 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 47% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 2% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 16% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
+16 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 16:49 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
42.1%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability42.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.58
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 24% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
+15 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 16:45 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
81.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability81.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.19
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 60% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 4% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
+14 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 04:25 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 47% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 04:24 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability61.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.39
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 04:23 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 04:20 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 04:18 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 04:16 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
51.1%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability51.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 04:14 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.4%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Composition matchup raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↑Composition matchupraised estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 04:11 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 14:37 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
91.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability91.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 62% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | +14 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 14:36 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
89.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability89.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.11
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 59% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 19% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | +13 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 14:35 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
82.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability82.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.18
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 56% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 23% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | +12 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 14:34 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
91.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability91.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 62% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | +11 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 14:33 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
91.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability91.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 62% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | +10 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 14:32 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
89.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability89.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.1
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 61% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | +11 | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 13:58 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability61.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.39
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 13:55 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 13:52 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 13:49 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Composition matchup raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Composition matchupraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 24% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 13:50 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 13:48 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- |