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PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
WINS
—
DEFEATS
—
DRAWS
—
WIN RATIO
—
DIFFICULTY
Coming soon
OVERPERFORMANCE
Coming soon
TROPHIES
30118
TRACKING HISTORY

Battle activity

Daily wins, losses, and draws since tracking began.

“Time playing” here is interpreted as since tracking began (first_seen → last_update). Brawl Stars does not expose account creation time.
MISSY presenting the prediction overview
PREDICTION OVERVIEW

Did you beat the expectation?

Your overall Ladder performance belongs here. Individual battle verdicts stay in Battle history.

VICTORY SCORE54As expected · 92 eligible battles · Medium evidenceVIEW SCORE BATTLES →
7 DAYS0 modeled
ACTUAL WINS0
VS
EXPECTED WINS0
0right on expectation
0%0% modeled · 110 unmodeled
14 DAYS0 modeled
ACTUAL WINS0
VS
EXPECTED WINS0
0right on expectation
0%0% modeled · 252 unmodeled
30 DAYS92 modeled
ACTUAL WINS48
VS
EXPECTED WINS46.4
+1.6wins above expectation
19.1%19.1% modeled · 390 unmodeled
14-DAY EXPECTATION TREND0.0 winsLatest seven days versus the prior seven.
SCORE EVIDENCEWhich results moved the 30-day read?Raw result signal is actual result minus predicted win probability. V2 regularizes the complete set, so these are evidence contributions—not literal score points.
Probability = match estimateConfidence = not separately estimated yetFreshness = prediction timestampEvidence = Victory Score support
SESSION & STREAK LOG

How are your play sessions unfolding?

CURRENT STREAK2 win
SESSIONS · 30D50A 45-minute break starts a new session.
LONGEST WIN RUN · 30D8Consecutive recorded victories.
LATEST SESSION7–815 battles · 46 min · 47% wins
7W · 8L15 games · 46m · BARLEY, BROCK, BULL
6W · 6L12 games · 48m · BULL, DOUG, EDGAR
10W · 14L24 games · 41m · COLT, DAMIAN, MANDY
1W · 6L7 games · 15m · BROCK, ROSA, SQUEAK
3W · 4L7 games · 16m · BULL, DOUG, SQUEAK
1W · 0L · 4D5 games · 21m · BYRON, CROW, ROSA
MEETING HISTORY

Teammates, rivals & counters

Descriptive 30-day results from complete roster observations. Player identity is never fed into the prediction model.

FREQUENT TEAMMATES
FinalSP💕0%9 meetings · latest NAJIA
rodr89jp83%6 meetings · latest PIPER
⚡️|𝐌𝐢𝐠𝐮𝐞𝐥83%6 meetings · latest NANI
FinalFP💕0%5 meetings · latest TRUNK
Angel_Areval33%3 meetings · latest PIPER
Babylocc83♿️💙33%3 meetings · latest PAM
FREQUENT OPPONENTS
A1dn67%3 meetings · your observed win rate
ABIGAIL33%3 meetings · your observed win rate
AT67%3 meetings · your observed win rate
Alfredo4/1033%3 meetings · your observed win rate
Arnoldo67%3 meetings · your observed win rate
AssasinBrawler67%3 meetings · your observed win rate
“Counter” here means a difficult observed opponent history—not proof of causation or a model feature.
30-DAY LADDER LENSES

Where are you beating the model?

Actual wins versus expected wins, with sample-size labels.

BROCK27 battles · Established
ACTUAL40.7%EXPECTED49.7%
-2.4wins vs expected
BULL15 battles · Emerging
ACTUAL73.3%EXPECTED54.6%
+2.8wins vs expected
SQUEAK14 battles · Emerging
ACTUAL71.4%EXPECTED48.0%
+3.3wins vs expected
SURGE14 battles · Emerging
ACTUAL71.4%EXPECTED51.1%
+2.8wins vs expected
WENDY5 battles · Early read
ACTUAL40.0%EXPECTED47.4%
-0.4wins vs expected
DYNAMIKE4 battles · Early read
ACTUAL25.0%EXPECTED50.8%
-1.0wins vs expected
BOLT3 battles · Early read
ACTUAL33.3%EXPECTED50.1%
-0.5wins vs expected
EDGAR3 battles · Early read
ACTUAL66.7%EXPECTED50.5%
+0.5wins vs expected
Bounty39 battles · Established
ACTUAL56.4%EXPECTED48.6%
+3.0wins vs expected
Gem Grab39 battles · Established
ACTUAL48.7%EXPECTED51.3%
-1.0wins vs expected
Knockout7 battles · Early read
ACTUAL28.6%EXPECTED52.7%
-1.7wins vs expected
Brawl Ball6 battles · Early read
ACTUAL66.7%EXPECTED53.9%
+0.8wins vs expected
Hot Zone1 battles · Early read
ACTUAL100.0%EXPECTED49.6%
+0.5wins vs expected
Shooting-Star16 battles · Emerging
ACTUAL68.8%EXPECTED48.2%
+3.3wins vs expected
Temple-Ruins15 battles · Emerging
ACTUAL40.0%EXPECTED49.2%
-1.4wins vs expected
Royal-Flush10 battles · Emerging
ACTUAL30.0%EXPECTED50.2%
-2.0wins vs expected
Undermine7 battles · Early read
ACTUAL28.6%EXPECTED49.9%
-1.5wins vs expected
Double Swoosh5 battles · Early read
ACTUAL80.0%EXPECTED52.7%
+1.4wins vs expected
Hard Rock Mine5 battles · Early read
ACTUAL60.0%EXPECTED52.7%
+0.4wins vs expected
Double-Swoosh4 battles · Early read
ACTUAL75.0%EXPECTED47.3%
+1.1wins vs expected
Dry-Season4 battles · Early read
ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED46.8%
+0.1wins vs expected
Only validated Ladder predictions are included. Early read means fewer than 10 battles; Emerging means 10–19.
DATA & PROGRESSION

Context you can trust

Gap flagged
COLLECTION11m agoBattle polling · normally every 15 minutes0 recent rows carry a possible-gap flag
PROFILE SNAPSHOT82560m agoCurrent context; never backfilled onto older battlesTimestamped point-in-time source
COMPETITIVE RANKEDDIAMOND III · 4431 ELOSeason best: MYTHIC I
244/244 recent Ranked battles have honest pre-battle ELO · model pending
ACCOUNT PROGRESSION30118 trophiesBest 30170 · Prestige 23Current context—not prediction input unless captured before battle