| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 · 06:30 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double Swoosh | +10 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 06:28 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double Swoosh | -6 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 06:25 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double Swoosh | +14 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 06:23 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 48% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double Swoosh | +13 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 06:21 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double Swoosh | +12 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 01:31 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.8%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability63.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.64
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | -8 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 01:29 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +15 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 01:28 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
51.3%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability51.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Composition matchup raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Composition matchupraised estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | -8 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 04:24 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.4%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | +11 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 04:21 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | +10 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 04:18 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.6%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | -5 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 04:16 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.4%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | -5 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 04:13 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
64.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability64.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | +10 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 05:42 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.9%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 05:39 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 05:36 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 05:34 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.2%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability37.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 36% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 05:31 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
38.0%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability38.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 37% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 05:29 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.4%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 05:26 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 05:23 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability62.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 05:21 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.7%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 05:19 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 05:17 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability61.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 05:32 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 05:25 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
38.4%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability38.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.62
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 05:22 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 05:20 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.9%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 05:17 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
60.8%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability60.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.39
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 05:14 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 47% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 4% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 24% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- |