contractkills — StarrLabs Research Report

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contractkills

#2J8CV2RVGL

Verify this player View battle history

Mode Type Brawler Period

PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW

WINS

—

DEFEATS

—

DRAWS

—

WIN RATIO

—

DIFFICULTY

Coming soon

OVERPERFORMANCE

Coming soon

TROPHIES

105598

TRACKING HISTORY

Battle activity

Daily wins, losses, and draws since tracking began.

“Time playing” here is interpreted as since tracking began (first_seen → last_update). Brawl Stars does not expose account creation time.

MISSY presenting the prediction overview

PREDICTION OVERVIEW

Did you beat the expectation?

Your overall Ladder performance belongs here. Individual battle verdicts stay in Battle history.

VICTORY SCORE36Below expectation · 49 eligible battles · Medium evidenceVIEW SCORE BATTLES →

7 DAYS0 modeled

ACTUAL WINS0

VS

EXPECTED WINS0

0right on expectation

0%0% modeled · 155 unmodeled

14 DAYS0 modeled

ACTUAL WINS0

VS

EXPECTED WINS0

0right on expectation

0%0% modeled · 347 unmodeled

30 DAYS43 modeled

ACTUAL WINS17

VS

EXPECTED WINS22.1

-5.1wins below expectation

5.9%5.9% modeled · 684 unmodeled

14-DAY EXPECTATION TREND0.0 winsLatest seven days versus the prior seven.

SCORE EVIDENCEWhich results moved the 30-day read?Raw result signal is actual result minus predicted win probability. V2 regularizes the complete set, so these are evidence contributions—not literal score points.

STRONGEST POSITIVEBO · Gem Grab+0.62Won at 38%SHADE · Hot Zone+0.5Won at 50%TRUNK · Hot Zone+0.5Won at 50%

STRONGEST NEGATIVETRUNK · Hot Zone-0.66Lost at 66%GRIFF · Gem Grab-0.62Lost at 62%EDGAR · Bounty-0.61Lost at 61%

SESSION & STREAK LOG

How are your play sessions unfolding?

CURRENT STREAK16 draw

SESSIONS · 30D98A 45-minute break starts a new session.

LONGEST WIN RUN · 30D7Consecutive recorded victories.

LATEST SESSION0–010 battles · 88 min · 0% wins

Oct 08 · 05:100W · 0L · 10D10 games · 88m · R-T

Oct 07 · 15:050W · 0L · 2D2 games · 3m · BARLEY

Oct 07 · 12:201W · 1L · 4D6 games · 12m · BARLEY, BO, BROCK

Oct 07 · 03:434W · 4L · 6D14 games · 46m · BARLEY, BO, BROCK

Oct 07 · 01:370W · 0L · 3D3 games · 27m · GUS

Oct 06 · 22:290W · 0L · 5D5 games · 10m · GUS

MEETING HISTORY

Teammates, rivals & counters

Descriptive 30-day results from complete roster observations. Player identity is never fed into the prediction model.

FREQUENT TEAMMATES

Brandonlee0%7 meetings · latest EL PRIMO

tango350%6 meetings · latest GRIFF

AlejoDoom0%5 meetings · latest PENNY

oreo0%5 meetings · latest DARRYL

Мику60%5 meetings · latest TARA

jelqer0%4 meetings · latest BEA

FREQUENT OPPONENTS

Brawler50%4 meetings · your observed win rate

Brawler0%4 meetings · your observed win rate

damnshordy6825%4 meetings · your observed win rate

Brawler33%3 meetings · your observed win rate

Brawler0%3 meetings · your observed win rate

Brawler0%3 meetings · your observed win rate

30-DAY LADDER LENSES

Where are you beating the model?

Actual wins versus expected wins, with sample-size labels.

BO9 battles · Early read

ACTUAL44.4%EXPECTED53.3%

-0.8wins vs expected

DOUG9 battles · Early read

ACTUAL44.4%EXPECTED51.4%

-0.6wins vs expected

TRUNK6 battles · Early read

ACTUAL33.3%EXPECTED52.6%

-1.2wins vs expected

POCO5 battles · Early read

ACTUAL60.0%EXPECTED52.3%

+0.4wins vs expected

SHADE4 battles · Early read

ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED46.6%

+0.1wins vs expected

COLETTE2 battles · Early read

ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED55.7%

-0.1wins vs expected

STU2 battles · Early read

ACTUAL0.0%EXPECTED35.5%

-0.7wins vs expected

8-BIT1 battles · Early read

ACTUAL0.0%EXPECTED50.0%

-0.5wins vs expected

Brawl Ball15 battles · Emerging

ACTUAL40.0%EXPECTED48.7%

-1.3wins vs expected

Hot Zone12 battles · Emerging

ACTUAL33.3%EXPECTED50.2%

-2.0wins vs expected

Gem Grab10 battles · Emerging

ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED55.5%

-0.6wins vs expected

Bounty5 battles · Early read

ACTUAL40.0%EXPECTED54.8%

-0.7wins vs expected

Heist1 battles · Early read

ACTUAL0.0%EXPECTED50.0%

-0.5wins vs expected

Tread Carefully12 battles · Emerging

ACTUAL33.3%EXPECTED50.2%

-2.0wins vs expected

Hard-Rock-Mine5 battles · Early read

ACTUAL40.0%EXPECTED53.1%

-0.7wins vs expected

Sneaky-Fields5 battles · Early read

ACTUAL60.0%EXPECTED49.6%

+0.5wins vs expected

Super-Beach5 battles · Early read

ACTUAL20.0%EXPECTED49.9%

-1.5wins vs expected

Dry-Season4 battles · Early read

ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED53.1%

-0.1wins vs expected

Pinhole-Punt3 battles · Early read

ACTUAL66.7%EXPECTED54.1%

+0.4wins vs expected

Stardust-Storm3 battles · Early read

ACTUAL66.7%EXPECTED58.7%

+0.2wins vs expected

Double-Swoosh2 battles · Early read

ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED56.8%

-0.1wins vs expected

DATA & PROGRESSION

Context you can trust

Gap flagged

COLLECTION5m agoBattle polling · normally every 15 minutes50 recent rows carry a possible-gap flag

PROFILE SNAPSHOT83006m agoCurrent context; never backfilled onto older battlesTimestamped point-in-time source

COMPETITIVE RANKEDMYTHIC I · 4677 ELOSeason best: MYTHIC II

187/187 recent Ranked battles have honest pre-battle ELO · model pending

ACCOUNT PROGRESSION105598 trophiesBest 105598 · Prestige 69Current context—not prediction input unless captured before battle