| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 · 18:52 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability62.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 18:50 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
51.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability51.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 06:04 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability61.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 06:01 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.1%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 05:59 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.7%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability61.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.62
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 05:56 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 05:49 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
51.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability51.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 05:46 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
64.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability64.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.35
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 01:15 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.8%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability37.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 17:53 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Tread Carefully | -8 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 17:45 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Tread Carefully | -6 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 17:43 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Tread Carefully | +11 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 17:36 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Tread Carefully | +10 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 17:34 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.9%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability36.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Tread Carefully | -6 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 17:32 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.6%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Tread Carefully | -4 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 17:30 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
66.3%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability66.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.66
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Tread Carefully | -4 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 17:28 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Tread Carefully | - | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 17:23 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.8%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 22% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Tread Carefully | +10 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 17:21 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Tread Carefully | -4 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 17:19 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Tread Carefully | -4 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 17:17 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Tread Carefully | +12 | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 15:15 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 15:13 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability62.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 15:08 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.4%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability61.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.61
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 09:27 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.8%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability36.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 09:23 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.9%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 09:21 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 18:06 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
35.8%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability35.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 47% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 17% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | -4 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 18:02 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
35.3%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability35.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.35
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 4% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 47% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 18% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | -4 | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 19:14 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.0%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- |