neal razi — StarrLabs Research Report

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neal razi

#2J2YG8U9PY

Verify this player View battle history

Mode Type Brawler Period

PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW

WINS

—

DEFEATS

—

DRAWS

—

WIN RATIO

—

DIFFICULTY

Coming soon

OVERPERFORMANCE

Coming soon

TROPHIES

28849

TRACKING HISTORY

Battle activity

Daily wins, losses, and draws since tracking began.

“Time playing” here is interpreted as since tracking began (first_seen → last_update). Brawl Stars does not expose account creation time.

MISSY presenting the prediction overview

PREDICTION OVERVIEW

Did you beat the expectation?

Your overall Ladder performance belongs here. Individual battle verdicts stay in Battle history.

VICTORY SCORE68Strongly above expectation · 50 eligible battles · Medium evidenceVIEW SCORE BATTLES →

7 DAYS0 modeled

ACTUAL WINS0

VS

EXPECTED WINS0

0right on expectation

0%0% modeled · 22 unmodeled

14 DAYS2 modeled

ACTUAL WINS1

VS

EXPECTED WINS1.3

-0.3wins below expectation

5.1%5.1% modeled · 37 unmodeled

30 DAYS46 modeled

ACTUAL WINS29

VS

EXPECTED WINS24.6

+4.4wins above expectation

30.7%30.7% modeled · 104 unmodeled

14-DAY EXPECTATION TREND0.0 winsLatest seven days versus the prior seven.

SCORE EVIDENCEWhich results moved the 30-day read?Raw result signal is actual result minus predicted win probability. V2 regularizes the complete set, so these are evidence contributions—not literal score points.

STRONGEST POSITIVEBOLT · Gem Grab+0.63Won at 37%BOLT · Gem Grab+0.62Won at 38%TICK · Bounty+0.61Won at 39%

STRONGEST NEGATIVESQUEAK · Bounty-0.63Lost at 63%SHELLY · Gem Grab-0.62Lost at 62%SQUEAK · Bounty-0.62Lost at 62%

SESSION & STREAK LOG

How are your play sessions unfolding?

CURRENT STREAK2 win

SESSIONS · 30D42A 45-minute break starts a new session.

LONGEST WIN RUN · 30D10Consecutive recorded victories.

LATEST SESSION5–27 battles · 14 min · 71% wins

Oct 07 · 08:175W · 2L7 games · 14m · BELLE, BIBI, NORI

Oct 06 · 12:055W · 1L6 games · 23m · LUMI, POCO

Oct 05 · 12:081W · 2L3 games · 4m · LUMI

Oct 03 · 12:331W · 0L1 games · 0m · LUMI

Oct 02 · 13:571W · 4L5 games · 4m · LUMI

Sep 30 · 08:452W · 0L2 games · 1m · MAX, TICK

MEETING HISTORY

Teammates, rivals & counters

Descriptive 30-day results from complete roster observations. Player identity is never fed into the prediction model.

FREQUENT TEAMMATES

Rooney0%3 meetings · latest PIPER

AndiLu0%2 meetings · latest SQUEAK

Brawler100%2 meetings · latest GALE

Brawler100%2 meetings · latest TICK

Brawler100%2 meetings · latest EL PRIMO

TheTxrnaðø;)50%2 meetings · latest GRIFF

FREQUENT OPPONENTS

Brawler75%4 meetings · your observed win rate

Milkyboi50%4 meetings · your observed win rate

Brawler100%3 meetings · your observed win rate

Nini67%3 meetings · your observed win rate

sinega67%3 meetings · your observed win rate

бебрик67%3 meetings · your observed win rate

30-DAY LADDER LENSES

Where are you beating the model?

Actual wins versus expected wins, with sample-size labels.

BOLT9 battles · Early read

ACTUAL100.0%EXPECTED49.9%

+4.5wins vs expected

TICK8 battles · Early read

ACTUAL37.5%EXPECTED48.5%

-0.9wins vs expected

ALLI5 battles · Early read

ACTUAL60.0%EXPECTED53.3%

+0.3wins vs expected

COLETTE5 battles · Early read

ACTUAL100.0%EXPECTED62.1%

+1.9wins vs expected

SHADE4 battles · Early read

ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED61.5%

-0.5wins vs expected

SQUEAK3 battles · Early read

ACTUAL33.3%EXPECTED62.2%

-0.9wins vs expected

SHELLY2 battles · Early read

ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED70.6%

-0.4wins vs expected

BELLE1 battles · Early read

ACTUAL0.0%EXPECTED23.4%

-0.2wins vs expected

Bounty18 battles · Emerging

ACTUAL38.9%EXPECTED50.3%

-2.1wins vs expected

Gem Grab12 battles · Emerging

ACTUAL91.7%EXPECTED55.0%

+4.4wins vs expected

Heist9 battles · Early read

ACTUAL88.9%EXPECTED64.0%

+2.2wins vs expected

Brawl Ball4 battles · Early read

ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED40.2%

+0.4wins vs expected

Hot Zone3 battles · Early read

ACTUAL33.3%EXPECTED51.2%

-0.5wins vs expected

Kaboom-Canyon6 battles · Early read

ACTUAL100.0%EXPECTED60.0%

+2.4wins vs expected

Layer-Cake6 battles · Early read

ACTUAL16.7%EXPECTED50.0%

-2.0wins vs expected

Hideout5 battles · Early read

ACTUAL40.0%EXPECTED41.4%

-0.1wins vs expected

Double-Swoosh4 battles · Early read

ACTUAL100.0%EXPECTED56.1%

+1.8wins vs expected

Dry-Season4 battles · Early read

ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED62.3%

-0.5wins vs expected

Hard-Rock-Mine4 battles · Early read

ACTUAL100.0%EXPECTED46.7%

+2.1wins vs expected

Hard Rock Mine3 battles · Early read

ACTUAL66.7%EXPECTED70.2%

-0.1wins vs expected

Shooting-Star3 battles · Early read

ACTUAL66.7%EXPECTED49.9%

+0.5wins vs expected

DATA & PROGRESSION

Context you can trust

Gap flagged

COLLECTION640m agoBattle polling · normally every 1440 minutes25 recent rows carry a possible-gap flag

PROFILE SNAPSHOT84022m agoCurrent context; never backfilled onto older battlesTimestamped point-in-time source

COMPETITIVE RANKEDDIAMOND III · 4268 ELOSeason best: MYTHIC I

9/9 recent Ranked battles have honest pre-battle ELO · model pending

ACCOUNT PROGRESSION28849 trophiesBest 28849 · Prestige 10Current context—not prediction input unless captured before battle