| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 · 20:20 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
64.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability64.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.35
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 36% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Heist
Trophy Match
|
Photic-Doom
|
- | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 18:03 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.7%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability61.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.62
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Heist
Trophy Match
|
Photic-Doom
|
-1 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 13:23 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.2%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 48% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Parallel-Plays
|
-1 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 13:21 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
69.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability69.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.31
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 5% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | +12 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 13:18 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
78.8%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability78.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.21
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 62% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 4% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | +10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 13:16 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.4%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability62.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.62
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | -1 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 13:44 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Hideout
|
-1 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 13:42 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
46.3%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability46.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.54
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 55% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 24% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Hideout
|
+10 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 13:40 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
42.1%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability42.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.42
Why this estimate?Brawler progression and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler progressionraised estimate · 23% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 20% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 55% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 1% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Hideout
|
- | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 13:38 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
46.3%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability46.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.54
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 55% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 24% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Hideout
|
+10 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 13:37 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
22.2%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability22.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.22
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 55% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 23% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Hideout
|
-1 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 03:29 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
89.8%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability89.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.1
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 61% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 1% of model movement
|
Heist
Trophy Match
|
Quintillion
|
- | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 17:51 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
41.8%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability41.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.42
Why this estimate?Brawler progression and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler progressionraised estimate · 22% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 20% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 55% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 1% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Reach for the Stars | - | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 22:33 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 22:31 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 22:28 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.8%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 17:31 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 17:29 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 13:23 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 12:19 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.4%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability61.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.61
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 12:16 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.9%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 12:14 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.2%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability63.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.63
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 16% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 12:11 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.3%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability37.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 3% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 16:26 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 16:24 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
38.1%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability38.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.62
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 36% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 12:19 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability61.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Golden Bay | +12 | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 22:15 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.2%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 4% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 37% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Heist
Trophy Match
|
Kaboom-Canyon
|
+14 | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 22:12 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
42.3%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability42.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.58
Why this estimate?Brawler progression and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler progressionraised estimate · 21% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 20% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 56% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 1% of model movement
|
Heist
Trophy Match
|
Kaboom-Canyon
|
+16 | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 22:10 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
89.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability89.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.11
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 59% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 18% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Heist
Trophy Match
|
Kaboom-Canyon
|
+15 | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 22:06 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
40.4%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability40.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.6
Why this estimate?Brawler progression and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler progressionraised estimate · 21% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 19% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 54% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 2% of model movement
|
Heist
Trophy Match
|
Kaboom-Canyon
|
+14 |