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PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
WINS
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DEFEATS
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DRAWS
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WIN RATIO
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DIFFICULTY
Coming soon
OVERPERFORMANCE
Coming soon
TROPHIES
114305
TRACKING HISTORY

Battle activity

Daily wins, losses, and draws since tracking began.

โ€œTime playingโ€ here is interpreted as since tracking began (first_seen โ†’ last_update). Brawl Stars does not expose account creation time.
MISSY presenting the prediction overview
PREDICTION OVERVIEW

Did you beat the expectation?

Your overall Ladder performance belongs here. Individual battle verdicts stay in Battle history.

VICTORY SCORE73Strongly above expectation ยท 199 eligible battles ยท High evidenceVIEW SCORE BATTLES โ†’
7 DAYS0 modeled
ACTUAL WINS0
VS
EXPECTED WINS0
0right on expectation
0%0% modeled ยท 185 unmodeled
14 DAYS0 modeled
ACTUAL WINS0
VS
EXPECTED WINS0
0right on expectation
0%0% modeled ยท 393 unmodeled
30 DAYS128 modeled
ACTUAL WINS70
VS
EXPECTED WINS64.3
+5.7wins above expectation
17.6%17.6% modeled ยท 599 unmodeled
14-DAY EXPECTATION TREND0.0 winsLatest seven days versus the prior seven.
SCORE EVIDENCEWhich results moved the 30-day read?Raw result signal is actual result minus predicted win probability. V2 regularizes the complete set, so these are evidence contributionsโ€”not literal score points.
STRONGEST POSITIVEWENDY ยท Knockout+0.64Won at 36%COSMO ยท Bounty+0.64Won at 36%WENDY ยท Knockout+0.63Won at 37%
STRONGEST NEGATIVEMEG ยท Brawl Ball-0.62Lost at 62%DARRYL ยท Brawl Ball-0.62Lost at 62%WENDY ยท Knockout-0.58Lost at 58%
Probability = match estimateConfidence = not separately estimated yetFreshness = prediction timestampEvidence = Victory Score support
SESSION & STREAK LOG

How are your play sessions unfolding?

CURRENT STREAK1 win
SESSIONS ยท 30D71A 45-minute break starts a new session.
LONGEST WIN RUN ยท 30D29Consecutive recorded victories.
LATEST SESSION19โ€“1332 battles ยท 67 min ยท 59% wins
19W ยท 13L32 games ยท 67m ยท BOLT, CARL, COSMO
1W ยท 1L2 games ยท 8m
9W ยท 6L15 games ยท 33m ยท GROM, NORI
11W ยท 2L13 games ยท 28m ยท 8-BIT, AMBER, CARL
34W ยท 20L ยท 1D55 games ยท 181m ยท 8-BIT, ANGELO, BEA
11W ยท 6L17 games ยท 37m ยท 8-BIT, AMBER, DAMIAN
MEETING HISTORY

Teammates, rivals & counters

Descriptive 30-day results from complete roster observations. Player identity is never fed into the prediction model.

FREQUENT TEAMMATES
SHร‚รร˜ลด46%123 meetings ยท latest MANDY
Gayeon59%86 meetings ยท latest WENDY
KevinZ95%22 meetings ยท latest LOU
Yamal๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ93%15 meetings ยท latest SURGE
Gambler100%5 meetings ยท latest RICO
Crazyking25%4 meetings ยท latest POCO
FREQUENT OPPONENTS
Gayeon86%7 meetings ยท your observed win rate
Brawler50%4 meetings ยท your observed win rate
Brawler75%4 meetings ยท your observed win rate
Brawler75%4 meetings ยท your observed win rate
BIG KENJI100%3 meetings ยท your observed win rate
Brawler67%3 meetings ยท your observed win rate
โ€œCounterโ€ here means a difficult observed opponent historyโ€”not proof of causation or a model feature.
30-DAY LADDER LENSES

Where are you beating the model?

Actual wins versus expected wins, with sample-size labels.

R-T11 battles ยท Emerging
ACTUAL81.8%EXPECTED51.0%
+3.4wins vs expected
LUMI7 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL71.4%EXPECTED50.0%
+1.5wins vs expected
BOLT6 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL66.7%EXPECTED44.1%
+1.4wins vs expected
COSMO5 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL60.0%EXPECTED47.2%
+0.6wins vs expected
LILY5 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL80.0%EXPECTED50.3%
+1.5wins vs expected
AMBER4 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL100.0%EXPECTED53.5%
+1.9wins vs expected
DARRYL4 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL75.0%EXPECTED52.9%
+0.9wins vs expected
MANDY4 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL25.0%EXPECTED50.0%
-1.0wins vs expected
Brawl Ball70 battles ยท Established
ACTUAL47.1%EXPECTED50.9%
-2.7wins vs expected
Knockout21 battles ยท Established
ACTUAL66.7%EXPECTED47.5%
+4.0wins vs expected
Bounty16 battles ยท Emerging
ACTUAL56.2%EXPECTED48.3%
+1.3wins vs expected
Gem Grab11 battles ยท Emerging
ACTUAL63.6%EXPECTED53.4%
+1.1wins vs expected
Hot Zone10 battles ยท Emerging
ACTUAL70.0%EXPECTED50.4%
+2.0wins vs expected
Beach-Ball15 battles ยท Emerging
ACTUAL40.0%EXPECTED50.1%
-1.5wins vs expected
Spiraling-Out14 battles ยท Emerging
ACTUAL64.3%EXPECTED50.0%
+2.0wins vs expected
Super-Beach14 battles ยท Emerging
ACTUAL42.9%EXPECTED50.9%
-1.1wins vs expected
Sunny-Soccer11 battles ยท Emerging
ACTUAL36.4%EXPECTED53.5%
-1.9wins vs expected
Out in the Open8 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL50.0%EXPECTED49.3%
+0.1wins vs expected
Pinhole-Punt8 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL75.0%EXPECTED51.6%
+1.9wins vs expected
Reach for the Stars7 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL71.4%EXPECTED48.8%
+1.6wins vs expected
Bustling Business6 battles ยท Early read
ACTUAL16.7%EXPECTED50.0%
-2.0wins vs expected
Only validated Ladder predictions are included. Early read means fewer than 10 battles; Emerging means 10โ€“19.
DATA & PROGRESSION

Context you can trust

Gap flagged
COLLECTION10m agoBattle polling ยท normally every 15 minutes0 recent rows carry a possible-gap flag
PROFILE SNAPSHOT85569m agoCurrent context; never backfilled onto older battlesTimestamped point-in-time source
COMPETITIVE RANKEDDIAMOND II ยท 3586 ELOSeason best: DIAMOND II
13/13 recent Ranked battles have honest pre-battle ELO ยท model pending
ACCOUNT PROGRESSION114305 trophiesBest 114311 ยท Prestige 104Current contextโ€”not prediction input unless captured before battle