| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 · 19:16 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +10 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 03:30 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
69.6%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability69.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.7
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | -6 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 03:26 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
71.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability71.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.28
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 60% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +10 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 03:23 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.6%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | -6 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 03:20 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 39% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +11 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 03:18 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
57.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability57.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.43
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +10 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 03:17 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | -5 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 03:15 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +14 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 03:12 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +13 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 03:09 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +17 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 03:07 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 39% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +11 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 03:04 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +10 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 03:02 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | -5 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 02:58 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +10 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 02:56 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.5%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability36.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 37% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | -5 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 02:54 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +11 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 02:51 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +10 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 02:49 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.3%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability63.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.63
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | -5 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 02:46 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | -5 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 02:41 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
57.8%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability57.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.42
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +19 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 02:39 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 39% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +18 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 02:36 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 39% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +17 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 02:34 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +16 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 01:31 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
75.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability75.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.25
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 55% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +15 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 01:28 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
48.0%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability48.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.52
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +19 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 01:27 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +13 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:59 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
29.6%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability29.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.3
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 23% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 2% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 40% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | - | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:48 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +12 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:44 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +11 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:40 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.3%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability37.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +10 |