| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 · 05:47 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.8%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability37.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.62
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
+11 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 05:45 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.8%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability61.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
+10 | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 12:25 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 12:22 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.3%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 12:19 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.1%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 12:17 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 00:20 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.4%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pump It Up | - | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 00:19 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.2%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.64
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pump It Up | +14 | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 00:17 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
86.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability86.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.13
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 65% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 4% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pump It Up | +13 | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 00:16 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability61.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Composition matchup and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pump It Up | +12 | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 00:13 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
66.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability66.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.34
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pump It Up | +11 | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 00:12 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.4%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 47% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pump It Up | +10 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 23:19 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.2%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability62.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.62
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pump It Up | -3 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 23:16 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 46% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pump It Up | +12 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 23:14 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.2%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.64
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pump It Up | +11 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 23:11 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
66.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability66.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.34
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pump It Up | +15 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 23:09 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pump It Up | -3 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 23:06 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pump It Up | +11 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 23:04 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
58.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability58.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.42
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pump It Up | +15 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 23:02 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pump It Up | -3 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 22:59 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pump It Up | +11 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 19:55 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
57.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability57.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.42
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Streets-with-No-Name
|
+11 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 19:53 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
82.8%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability82.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.17
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 64% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 22% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 4% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Streets-with-No-Name
|
+10 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 19:52 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.7%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 46% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 4% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Streets-with-No-Name
|
-1 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 19:49 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
66.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability66.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.34
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 5% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Streets-with-No-Name
|
+13 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 19:48 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 53% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 24% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Streets-with-No-Name
|
+12 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 18:09 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 18:06 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.5%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 47% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 05:22 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 05:19 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- |