| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 · 04:09 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
38.4%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability38.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 04:07 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 04:05 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 04:01 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 03:59 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
38.3%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability38.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 37% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 03:56 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.8%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability37.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.62
Why this estimate?Team balance and Composition matchup raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 24% of model movement
↑Composition matchupraised estimate · 3% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- |