| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 · 02:41 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.4%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability61.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.61
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 02:39 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 02:37 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
64.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability64.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.36
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 36% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 02:32 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.8%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 02:29 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability62.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 02:27 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.5%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability36.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 02:24 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.9%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 02:22 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability62.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 02:18 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
38.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability38.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.61
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 05:19 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability61.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 03:16 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.9%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability61.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.62
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 03:12 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
57.2%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability57.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.57
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 03:07 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
67.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability67.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.32
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 46% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 03:04 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.6%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability37.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 03:00 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 17:42 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.3%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Out-in-the-Open
|
-4 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 17:41 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
43.0%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability43.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.57
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 23% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Out-in-the-Open
|
+14 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 17:38 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
26.3%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability26.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.26
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 19% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 47% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Out-in-the-Open
|
-2 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 17:35 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
26.3%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability26.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.26
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 19% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 47% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Out-in-the-Open
|
-2 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 17:33 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
88.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability88.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.12
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 64% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 4% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Out-in-the-Open
|
+11 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 17:31 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.8%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability37.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Out-in-the-Open
|
-3 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 17:30 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
40.8%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability40.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.59
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 21% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Out-in-the-Open
|
+11 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 17:28 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
78.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability78.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.22
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 58% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 20% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 5% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Out-in-the-Open
|
+10 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 17:25 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
32.7%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability32.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.33
Why this estimate?Team balance and Composition matchup raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 21% of model movement
↑Composition matchupraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 37% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Out-in-the-Open
|
-3 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 17:21 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.5%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability37.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Out-in-the-Open
|
+11 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 17:01 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
65.1%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability65.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.65
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Deep-End
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 17:00 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.4%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability36.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 37% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Deep-End
|
- |