| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 · 17:39 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
18.2%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability18.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.82
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 18% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 3% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 71% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Out in the Open | +11 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 17:35 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.2%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 68% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 23% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 4% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Out in the Open | +10 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 17:43 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
24.5%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability24.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.25
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 18% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 51% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 24% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-2 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 17:42 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 65% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 1% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+14 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 17:41 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
38.4%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability38.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.62
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 48% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+13 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 17:39 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
91.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability91.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 66% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 16% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 1% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+12 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 17:38 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
87.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability87.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.12
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 63% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 16% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 2% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+11 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 17:37 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
76.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability76.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.24
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 57% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 3% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 3% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+10 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 17:36 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
47.1%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability47.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.47
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 9% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 21% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-1 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 17:33 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
91.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability91.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 68% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 16% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 1% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+15 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 23:33 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
42.3%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability42.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.58
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 36% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 22% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
+13 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 23:32 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
82.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability82.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.17
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 66% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 21% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 4% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
+12 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 23:31 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
92.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability92.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.08
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 63% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 1% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
+11 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 23:30 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.8%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 61% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 1% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
+10 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 23:30 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
87.2%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability87.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.87
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 63% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 4% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
-1 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 23:28 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
82.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability82.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.17
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 66% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 21% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 4% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
+17 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 23:27 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
89.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability89.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.1
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 66% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 3% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
+16 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 23:26 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
81.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability81.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.19
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 61% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 20% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 4% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
+15 | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 20:54 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability63.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.63
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 20:51 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
51.1%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability51.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 23:35 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Please Remain Standing | +13 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 23:31 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.4%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Please Remain Standing | +12 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 23:30 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.5%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Please Remain Standing | +11 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 23:29 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
89.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability89.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.1
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 69% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 4% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Please Remain Standing | +10 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 23:27 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pump It Up | - | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 23:25 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
47.8%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability47.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.48
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pump It Up | -6 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 23:23 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.4%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 47% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pump It Up | +12 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 23:22 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
64.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability64.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.36
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 36% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 36% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pump It Up | +11 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 23:21 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability62.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pump It Up | +10 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 23:20 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pump It Up | -6 |