| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 · 08:18 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
33.0%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability33.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.33
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 40% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -1 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 08:17 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 56% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 08:16 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
33.3%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability33.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.33
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 41% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -1 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 08:13 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
84.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability84.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.16
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 61% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 4% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 08:12 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.2%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability36.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -1 | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 09:50 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
59.7%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability59.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.6
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 09:46 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.8%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability61.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 09:42 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.3%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 47% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 09:39 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 09:37 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
38.1%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability38.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 09:33 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 53% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 4% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 21% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 15:21 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 09, 2026 · 15:49 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.8%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Hideout
|
+11 |