| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 · 02:50 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability62.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
+10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 02:49 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
67.8%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability67.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.68
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 47% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 24% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
-2 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 02:48 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
12.1%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability12.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.88
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 72% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
+11 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 02:06 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
38.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability38.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.61
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 20% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
+10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 00:59 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
17.5%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability17.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.18
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 16% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 67% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
-2 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 00:57 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
19.3%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability19.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.81
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 18% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 2% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 66% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
+10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 00:55 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
40.9%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability40.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.41
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 24% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
-2 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 07:39 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
41.5%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability41.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.58
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +10 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 07:36 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
56.5%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability56.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.56
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | -3 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 07:34 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.7%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 65% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 5% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | -3 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 07:33 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
56.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability56.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.43
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 20% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +10 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 07:31 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
58.5%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability58.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.58
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 18% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | -3 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 07:29 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
74.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability74.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.26
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 62% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +17 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 07:27 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +11 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 03:22 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
69.8%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability69.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.7
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 2% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | -3 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 03:20 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | -3 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 03:18 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +15 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 03:16 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
87.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability87.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.13
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 73% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 22% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 3% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 2% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +14 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 03:14 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +13 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 03:12 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.8%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +12 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 00:05 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
57.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability57.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.42
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+14 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 05:27 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
64.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability64.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.36
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +12 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 05:24 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +11 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 05:22 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
75.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability75.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.25
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 55% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +10 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 05:20 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 57% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | -2 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 05:18 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
77.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability77.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.23
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 61% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 3% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +16 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 05:16 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.2%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability36.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | -3 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 05:13 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
78.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability78.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.22
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 61% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 24% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 4% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +10 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 12:51 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
80.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability80.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.19
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 62% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 2% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +10 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 23:34 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability62.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.62
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Reach for the Stars | -2 |