| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 · 00:48 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
68.8%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability68.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.31
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Beach-Ball
|
+11 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 23:53 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.2%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.64
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +11 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 23:50 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | - | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 23:48 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
26.3%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability26.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.26
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 19% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 47% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Spiraling-Out
|
-2 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 21:55 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
92.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability92.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.08
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 64% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Out in the Open | +20 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 21:53 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 55% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 3% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Out in the Open | -1 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 21:51 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Out in the Open | - | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 21:47 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
8.6%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability8.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.09
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 78% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Out in the Open | -1 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 02:41 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
83.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability83.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.17
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 66% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 23% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +10 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 02:24 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
86.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability86.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.14
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 63% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 18% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 1% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+12 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 02:22 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-2 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 02:16 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.8%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability37.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-3 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 01:13 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+11 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 01:11 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
64.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability64.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+10 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 00:22 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.4%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 54% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Supercut | -2 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 17:02 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 62% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +20 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 17:01 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
92.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability92.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.08
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 64% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +20 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 17:00 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
92.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability92.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.08
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 64% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +19 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 16:59 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.8%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 62% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +18 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 16:58 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 62% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +17 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 16:57 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 60% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 16% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +15 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 16:56 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
89.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability89.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.1
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 63% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 16% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +16 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 16:54 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
92.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability92.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.07
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 64% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +15 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 00:03 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
91.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability91.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 59% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 16% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 1% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
+15 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 00:01 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
42.8%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability42.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.43
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 16% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
-1 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 23:59 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
81.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability81.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.18
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 63% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 23% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 4% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
+20 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 23:58 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.1
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 61% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 1% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
+20 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 23:52 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
79.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability79.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.2
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 59% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 21% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 3% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
+20 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 22:55 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
29.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability29.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.7
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 22% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 3% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 41% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +20 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 22:54 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
78.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability78.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.21
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 60% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 33% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +20 |