| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 · 02:33 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
25.7%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability25.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.74
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 21% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 3% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 46% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 24% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +11 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 15:22 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
35.2%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability35.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.65
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 45% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 15:17 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 48% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +8 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 04:03 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
57.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability57.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.42
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Hideout
|
+10 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 21:02 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 48% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Hideout
|
-7 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 21:00 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
82.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability82.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.17
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 68% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 21% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 1% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Hideout
|
+11 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 20:56 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
86.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability86.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.13
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 66% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 16% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 3% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Hideout
|
+10 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 20:55 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | +11 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 20:51 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | +10 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 20:48 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.3%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 48% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | -7 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 03:38 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double Swoosh | +12 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 03:35 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double Swoosh | +11 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 03:33 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double Swoosh | +10 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 03:29 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.8%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+10 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 03:27 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.3%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-8 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 03:24 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+15 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 03:21 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+14 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 03:18 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+13 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 17:43 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double Swoosh | +8 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 16:51 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double Swoosh | -10 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 15:58 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double Swoosh | +8 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 15:56 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double Swoosh | +8 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 04:17 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | +8 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 04:14 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | - | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 04:12 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | -8 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 04:10 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 46% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | +11 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 04:08 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | +10 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 03:56 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
+11 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 03:54 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
64.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability64.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.36
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
+10 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 03:53 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
51.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability51.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
-7 |