| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 · 11:03 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 14, 2026 · 20:38 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.8%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Stroke of Luck | +12 | |
| Sep 14, 2026 · 12:53 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.3%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- | |
| Sep 14, 2026 · 12:51 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 14, 2026 · 12:49 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
64.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability64.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.36
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 36% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 10:49 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 10:44 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 4% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 17:17 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Dueling-Beetles
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 17:14 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Grass-Knot
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 17:12 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.4%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Dueling-Beetles
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 17:09 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Dueling-Beetles
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 17:06 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 47% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Dueling-Beetles
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 12:52 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 12:50 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.1%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability37.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 16:03 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
59.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability59.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.41
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Heist
Trophy Match
|
Quintillion
|
+10 | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 12:52 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 12:48 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
38.1%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability38.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 12:45 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 12:38 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.3%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 4% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 12:36 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.4%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 4% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 12:33 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 11:27 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 11:25 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 11:22 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 11:16 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 10:47 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability62.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- |