| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 · 15:44 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | +10 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 15:39 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 48% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Heist
Trophy Match
|
Kaboom-Canyon
|
-8 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 15:58 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Beach-Ball
|
-9 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 15:55 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.4%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Beach-Ball
|
+13 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 15:53 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 47% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Beach-Ball
|
+12 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 15:52 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.2%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Beach-Ball
|
+11 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 15:50 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.4%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Beach-Ball
|
-8 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 01:22 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Spiraling-Out
|
-7 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 01:20 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Spiraling-Out
|
+12 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 01:18 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.8%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Spiraling-Out
|
+11 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 01:16 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Spiraling-Out
|
-3 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 01:14 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Spiraling-Out
|
+14 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 01:12 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability62.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Spiraling-Out
|
+13 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 01:09 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Spiraling-Out
|
+12 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 01:06 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.8%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Spiraling-Out
|
+11 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 01:04 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Spiraling-Out
|
+10 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 01:19 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+10 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 01:15 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.5%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability62.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-1 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 15:39 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.6%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Open-Space
|
-8 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 15:36 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Heist
Trophy Match
|
Hot Tubs | +12 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 15:33 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Heist
Trophy Match
|
Hot Tubs | -8 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 12:56 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
48.5%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability48.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 4% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
-8 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 12:55 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 4% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
+13 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 12:53 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
+12 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 12:52 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.8%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability62.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 16% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
+11 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 12:49 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
-9 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 12:46 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
+10 | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 12:56 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.4%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sunny-Soccer
|
- | |
| Sep 14, 2026 · 05:17 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
57.7%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability57.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.58
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 36% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 14, 2026 · 05:15 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.3%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- |