| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 · 21:32 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.6%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | -4 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 21:29 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.2%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability36.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | -4 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 01:58 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 19:15 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -4 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 19:13 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +12 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 19:10 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 48% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +11 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 19:07 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
48.8%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability48.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +15 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 19:04 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
38.6%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability38.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.39
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 2% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 44% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 19% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -4 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 19:02 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
82.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability82.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.17
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 68% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 22% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 3% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 18:58 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
87.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability87.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.12
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 67% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 18% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 4% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | - | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 03:24 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
68.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability68.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.32
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+10 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 03:21 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
-4 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 03:14 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+12 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 01:20 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+15 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 01:18 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+14 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 00:30 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.5%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+18 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 00:06 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
51.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability51.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Composition matchup raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Composition matchupraised estimate · 4% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+12 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 00:04 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+11 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 00:01 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+10 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 21:10 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.8%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Composition matchup raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 36% of model movement
↑Composition matchupraised estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
-7 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 21:02 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
-8 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 20:59 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+15 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 20:57 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.8%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+14 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 20:54 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+13 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 20:51 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+12 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 20:44 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability63.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 31% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
-4 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 20:41 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
- | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 20:39 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+17 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 01:50 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
38.3%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability38.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.62
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Beach-Ball
|
+11 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 01:35 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability61.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.39
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Beach-Ball
|
+10 |