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BATTLE ARCHIVE
Recent matches for #8LPVP0Q0C
SUMMARY
WIN RATE
68.0%
463 W · 218 L · 0 D
TOTAL BATTLES
681
Filtered by current criteria
TOP BRAWLER
CHUCK
83 games · 60% WR
TOP MODE
Brawl Ball
489 games
STAR PLAYER
Star Player 172
Times you were Star Player
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Time Result Prediction Mode Map Brawler Trophy change
Sep 25, 2026 · 21:54 defeat
LADDER WIN CHANCE 34.7% Expected loss The underdog result held
Probability34.7% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence-0.35
Why this estimate?

Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement ↑Account experienceraised estimate · 3% of model movement ↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 32% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
-4
Sep 25, 2026 · 21:52 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 40.9% Surprise win Won as the underdog
Probability40.9% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence+0.59
Why this estimate?

Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 35% of model movement ↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 30% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
+12
Sep 25, 2026 · 21:50 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 36.2% Surprise win Won as the underdog
Probability36.2% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence+0.64
Why this estimate?

Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement ↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
+11
Sep 25, 2026 · 21:47 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 41.5% Surprise win Won as the underdog
Probability41.5% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence+0.58
Why this estimate?

Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 38% of model movement ↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 33% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
+10
Sep 25, 2026 · 21:45 defeat
LADDER WIN CHANCE 25.1% Expected loss The underdog result held
Probability25.1% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence-0.25
Why this estimate?

Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 20% of model movement ↑Account experienceraised estimate · 3% of model movement ↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 50% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
-4
Sep 25, 2026 · 21:43 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 46.6% Surprise win Won as the underdog
Probability46.6% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence+0.53
Why this estimate?

Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 55% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement ↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
+11
Sep 25, 2026 · 21:41 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 50.7% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability50.7% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence+0.49
Why this estimate?

Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 62% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
+10
Sep 25, 2026 · 21:40 defeat
LADDER WIN CHANCE 31.9% Expected loss The underdog result held
Probability31.9% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence-0.32
Why this estimate?

Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 24% of model movement ↑Account experienceraised estimate · 3% of model movement ↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 43% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
-4
Sep 25, 2026 · 21:38 defeat
LADDER WIN CHANCE 36.2% Expected loss The underdog result held
Probability36.2% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence-0.36
Why this estimate?

Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement ↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
-4
Sep 25, 2026 · 21:36 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 36.2% Surprise win Won as the underdog
Probability36.2% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence+0.64
Why this estimate?

Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement ↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
+11
Sep 25, 2026 · 21:34 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 36.2% Surprise win Won as the underdog
Probability36.2% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence+0.64
Why this estimate?

Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement ↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
+10
Sep 25, 2026 · 21:33 defeat
LADDER WIN CHANCE 36.2% Expected loss The underdog result held
Probability36.2% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence-0.36
Why this estimate?

Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement ↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
-4
Sep 25, 2026 · 21:32 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 36.2% Surprise win Won as the underdog
Probability36.2% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence+0.64
Why this estimate?

Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement ↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
+12
Sep 25, 2026 · 21:30 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 36.2% Surprise win Won as the underdog
Probability36.2% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence+0.64
Why this estimate?

Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement ↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
+11
Sep 25, 2026 · 21:27 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 36.2% Surprise win Won as the underdog
Probability36.2% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence+0.64
Why this estimate?

Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement ↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
+10
Sep 25, 2026 · 21:24 defeat
LADDER WIN CHANCE 36.2% Expected loss The underdog result held
Probability36.2% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence-0.36
Why this estimate?

Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement ↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
-4
Sep 25, 2026 · 21:21 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 82.7% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability82.7% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence+0.17
Why this estimate?

Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 64% of model movement ↑Team balanceraised estimate · 23% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 4% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
+10
Sep 25, 2026 · 21:20 defeat
LADDER WIN CHANCE 36.2% Expected loss The underdog result held
Probability36.2% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence-0.36
Why this estimate?

Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement ↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
-4
Sep 25, 2026 · 21:19 defeat
LADDER WIN CHANCE 36.2% Expected loss The underdog result held
Probability36.2% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence-0.36
Why this estimate?

Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement ↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
-4
Sep 25, 2026 · 21:16 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 35.6% Surprise win Won as the underdog
Probability35.6% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence+0.64
Why this estimate?

Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement ↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
+13
Sep 25, 2026 · 21:14 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 57.6% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability57.6% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence+0.42
Why this estimate?

Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement ↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 32% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 18% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
+12
Sep 25, 2026 · 21:13 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 49.4% Surprise win Won as the underdog
Probability49.4% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence+0.51
Why this estimate?

Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 53% of model movement ↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 3% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
+11
Sep 25, 2026 · 21:12 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 57.6% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability57.6% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence+0.42
Why this estimate?

Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement ↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 32% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 18% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
+10
Sep 25, 2026 · 21:11 defeat
LADDER WIN CHANCE 22.9% Expected loss The underdog result held
Probability22.9% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence-0.23
Why this estimate?

Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 19% of model movement ↑Account experienceraised estimate · 2% of model movement ↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 52% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Knockout Trophy Match
Goldarm Gulch
CHARLIE
-
Sep 25, 2026 · 20:57 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 83.0% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability83.0% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence+0.17
Why this estimate?

Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 66% of model movement ↑Team balanceraised estimate · 22% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 3% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
+10
Sep 25, 2026 · 20:56 defeat
LADDER WIN CHANCE 34.5% Expected loss The underdog result held
Probability34.5% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence-0.35
Why this estimate?

Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement ↑Account experienceraised estimate · 2% of model movement ↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 33% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
-4
Sep 25, 2026 · 20:54 defeat
LADDER WIN CHANCE 50.0% Missed expected win Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?

Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 56% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
-4
Sep 25, 2026 · 16:46 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 50.1% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability50.1% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?

Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 55% of model movement ↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 3% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
+11
Sep 25, 2026 · 16:44 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 86.2% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability86.2% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence+0.14
Why this estimate?

Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 64% of model movement ↑Team balanceraised estimate · 17% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 5% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
+10
Sep 25, 2026 · 16:43 defeat
LADDER WIN CHANCE 36.2% Expected loss The underdog result held
Probability36.2% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness11d ago Score evidence-0.36
Why this estimate?

Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement ↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Bustling Business
CHARLIE
-4
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