| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:54 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
34.7%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability34.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.35
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 3% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -4 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:52 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
40.9%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability40.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.59
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +12 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:50 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.2%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.64
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +11 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:47 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
41.5%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability41.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.58
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:45 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
25.1%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability25.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.25
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 20% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 3% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 50% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -4 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:43 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
46.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability46.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.53
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 55% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +11 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:41 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 62% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:40 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
31.9%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability31.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.32
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 24% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 3% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 43% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -4 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:38 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.2%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability36.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -4 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:36 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.2%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.64
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +11 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:34 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.2%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.64
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:33 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.2%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability36.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -4 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:32 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.2%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.64
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +12 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:30 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.2%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.64
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +11 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:27 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.2%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.64
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:24 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.2%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability36.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -4 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:21 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
82.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability82.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.17
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 64% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 23% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 4% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:20 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.2%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability36.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -4 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:19 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.2%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability36.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -4 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:16 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
35.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability35.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.64
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +13 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:14 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
57.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability57.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.42
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 18% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +12 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:13 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.4%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 53% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 3% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +11 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:12 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
57.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability57.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.42
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 18% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:11 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
22.9%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability22.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.23
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 19% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 2% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 52% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | - | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 20:57 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
83.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability83.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.17
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 66% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 22% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 3% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 20:56 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
34.5%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability34.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.35
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 2% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -4 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 20:54 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 56% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -4 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 16:46 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 55% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 3% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +11 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 16:44 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
86.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability86.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.14
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 64% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 5% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 16:43 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.2%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability36.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -4 |