| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 · 23:53 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
38.1%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability38.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 36% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 23:51 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
51.2%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability51.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 16, 2026 · 23:48 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 46% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 21:32 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability62.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 04:02 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
48.6%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability48.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 03:58 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 03:54 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 13, 2026 · 20:45 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.8%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability36.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 13, 2026 · 20:43 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
57.8%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability57.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.42
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 13, 2026 · 20:40 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.5%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 13, 2026 · 20:37 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.8%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 13:13 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.9%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 13:11 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
64.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability64.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.35
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 36% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 12:59 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 12:52 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.9%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability61.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.62
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- |