| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 · 19:59 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
70.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability70.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.29
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 2% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double Swoosh | +10 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 19:56 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.7%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability62.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double Swoosh | -3 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 19:53 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
64.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability64.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.35
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double Swoosh | +10 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 19:51 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.6%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double Swoosh | -3 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 19:48 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double Swoosh | -3 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 19:44 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
64.3%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability64.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.64
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double Swoosh | -3 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 19:40 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.1
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 62% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double Swoosh | +20 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 19:38 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
45.7%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability45.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.54
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 47% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 24% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 23% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double Swoosh | +20 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 19:35 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
80.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability80.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.19
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 63% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 23% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double Swoosh | +20 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 04:48 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
78.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability78.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.21
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 61% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 3% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | +20 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 04:46 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.1%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.64
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | +13 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 04:42 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
30.1%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability30.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.3
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 23% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 41% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | - | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 04:39 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.4%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | -3 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 04:35 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | +10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 23:28 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.1
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 61% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 23:27 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -1 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 23:24 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.8%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability63.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.64
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -3 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 16:48 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+13 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 16:44 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability61.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+17 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 16:41 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
64.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability64.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.35
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+11 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 16:39 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.9%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-2 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 16:37 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 4% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+10 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 16:36 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.1%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-3 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 16:32 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.7%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-3 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 16:30 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.1%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-3 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 16:27 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.3%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-2 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 11:36 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
38.1%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability38.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 37% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 01:17 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 01:14 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability61.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 01:11 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
67.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability67.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.32
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 46% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- |