| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 · 22:07 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | -8 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 21:57 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +12 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 21:54 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +11 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 18:57 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | -8 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 18:55 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +14 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 18:53 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +13 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 18:51 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +12 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 18:49 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +11 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 18:48 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +10 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 18:47 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | -8 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 02:47 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.2%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Composition matchup raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 36% of model movement
↑Composition matchupraised estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
-8 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 02:46 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
+8 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 02:44 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.6%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
-7 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 02:42 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
+18 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 02:40 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
+17 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 02:36 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
43.2%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability43.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.57
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 4% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 22% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 19% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
+16 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 02:35 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
-5 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 02:33 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
+13 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 02:30 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
+12 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 02:27 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Composition matchup raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↑Composition matchupraised estimate · 9% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
+11 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 02:25 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
+10 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 16:42 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.1%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
-7 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 16:40 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
-7 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 16:36 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
+11 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 15:15 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
-9 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 15:13 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
-7 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 04:50 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
81.8%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability81.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.18
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 58% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 20% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+10 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 04:48 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
-9 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 04:46 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.6%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
-9 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 04:44 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
+10 |