| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 · 22:19 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Golden Bay | -2 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 22:17 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.2%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.64
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +10 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 22:15 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
70.4%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability70.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.7
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 2% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | -2 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 22:13 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.36
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +11 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 22:11 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability61.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.39
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 36% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 16% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +10 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 21:53 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.8%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability63.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.64
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | -2 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 21:51 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
69.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability69.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.31
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +11 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 21:50 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
83.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability83.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.17
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 66% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 22% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 4% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +10 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 00:48 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.6%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | -2 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 00:45 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 62% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +10 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 00:33 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
82.5%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability82.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.82
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 60% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 20% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 1% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | -1 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 00:31 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.1%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability37.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 2% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | -1 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 00:29 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 55% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 3% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | +12 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 00:27 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
41.5%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability41.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.58
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | +11 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 00:25 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
56.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability56.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.44
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 3% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard Rock Mine | +10 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 00:21 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +11 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 00:19 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.9%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +15 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 00:18 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.6%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | -9 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 00:16 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +10 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 00:02 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | -9 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 23:59 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 48% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +13 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 17:57 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.36
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Out in the Open | +11 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 17:54 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability63.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Out in the Open | +10 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 17:52 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.4%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Out in the Open | -5 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 17:49 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.2%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability36.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Out in the Open | -5 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 14:13 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.1%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability37.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 2% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | -1 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 14:10 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 62% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +20 |