| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 · 22:30 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 60% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +17 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 22:29 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 59% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +16 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 22:28 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.8%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 62% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +15 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 22:27 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
38.7%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability38.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.61
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 51% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +14 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 22:26 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +10 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 22:25 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
18.0%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability18.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.82
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 19% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 2% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 71% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +11 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 22:22 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.8%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 61% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +13 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 22:21 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 60% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +12 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 22:20 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
91.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability91.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 62% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +11 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 22:19 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.1
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 62% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 16% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +14 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 22:17 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
89.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability89.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.11
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 60% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 19% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +13 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 22:16 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
82.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability82.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.17
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 65% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 23% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +12 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 22:14 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
82.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability82.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.18
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 65% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 22% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 2% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Belle's Rock | +11 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 19:27 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
23.0%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability23.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.23
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 19% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 2% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 53% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -1 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 19:23 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
23.3%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability23.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.23
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 20% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 2% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 51% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -2 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 19:21 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 57% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +11 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 22:36 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
91.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability91.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 60% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 1% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
+10 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 22:17 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
92.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability92.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.07
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 63% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 1% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
+10 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 19:40 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
22.0%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability22.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.22
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 48% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
-2 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 11:21 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
82.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability82.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.17
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 60% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 20% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 3% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
+10 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 11:09 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
54.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability54.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.45
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 24% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 16% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
- | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 11:05 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
16.9%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability16.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.17
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 66% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
-2 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 · 11:03 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
38.0%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability38.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 2% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 49% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinball-Dreams
|
-2 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 19:17 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Hideout
|
+10 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 19:08 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
38.2%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability38.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Hideout
|
-1 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 00:29 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
83.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability83.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.16
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 63% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 21% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Heist
Trophy Match
|
Quintillion
|
+10 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 00:26 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.5%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability37.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 47% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Heist
Trophy Match
|
Quintillion
|
-2 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 00:24 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
40.8%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability40.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.41
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 36% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 45% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 17% of model movement
|
Heist
Trophy Match
|
Quintillion
|
-2 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 00:22 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
20.5%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability20.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.8
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 20% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 2% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 71% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Heist
Trophy Match
|
Quintillion
|
+10 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 00:20 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.1%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability37.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 37% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
|
Heist
Trophy Match
|
Quintillion
|
-1 |