| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 · 19:59 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
16.9%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability16.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.17
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 16% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 69% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-2 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 19:55 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability62.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+12 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 19:51 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
64.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability64.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+11 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 15:29 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
65.2%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability65.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.65
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-2 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 15:26 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
24.4%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability24.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.24
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 18% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 51% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 24% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-2 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 15:22 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.7%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-5 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 15:20 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
48.8%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability48.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 46% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-4 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 15:19 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.9%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability61.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.62
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-4 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 15:17 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability62.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+10 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 15:15 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-4 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 15:12 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+12 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 15:09 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+11 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 15:07 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.8%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+10 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 15:03 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
88.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability88.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.11
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 61% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 15% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+20 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 15:01 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
82.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability82.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.18
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 58% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 20% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 2% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+19 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 15:00 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.1
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 62% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 2% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+18 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 14:59 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
91.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability91.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 64% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 1% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+17 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 14:58 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
55.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability55.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.44
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 36% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+13 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 14:57 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
80.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability80.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.19
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 60% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 21% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 2% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+20 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 14:47 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.1
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 62% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 2% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+20 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 14:46 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
91.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability91.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 63% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+19 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 14:45 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
91.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability91.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 63% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+18 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 14:44 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
92.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability92.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.08
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 65% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+17 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 14:43 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 62% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+16 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 14:42 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
84.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability84.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.15
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 59% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 19% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 1% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+15 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 22:37 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
82.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability82.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.18
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 60% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 19% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 3% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
+20 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 22:36 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
92.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability92.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.07
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 65% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 1% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
+20 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 22:35 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
83.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability83.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.17
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 57% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 22% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 3% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
+19 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 22:33 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
53.9%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability53.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.46
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 46% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
+11 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 22:31 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
55.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability55.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.44
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 36% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
+15 |