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BATTLE ARCHIVE
Recent matches for #2Q0VC2PU0L
SUMMARY
WIN RATE
77.4%
48 W · 14 L · 0 D
TOTAL BATTLES
62
Filtered by current criteria
TOP BRAWLER
EL PRIMO
19 games · 63% WR
TOP MODE
Brawl Ball
54 games
STAR PLAYER
Star Player 18
Times you were Star Player
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Time Result Prediction Mode Map Brawler Trophy change
Sep 20, 2026 · 19:59 defeat
LADDER WIN CHANCE 16.9% Expected loss The underdog result held
Probability16.9% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence-0.17
Why this estimate?

Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 16% of model movement ↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 69% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
MEG
-2
Sep 20, 2026 · 19:55 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 62.5% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability62.5% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?

Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement ↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
KAZE
+12
Sep 20, 2026 · 19:51 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 64.0% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability64.0% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence+0.36
Why this estimate?

Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement ↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
MORTIS
+11
Sep 20, 2026 · 15:29 defeat
LADDER WIN CHANCE 65.2% Missed expected win Favored, but the match was lost
Probability65.2% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence-0.65
Why this estimate?

Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.

↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 37% of model movement ↑Team balanceraised estimate · 31% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 15% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
MAISIE
-2
Sep 20, 2026 · 15:26 defeat
LADDER WIN CHANCE 24.4% Expected loss The underdog result held
Probability24.4% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence-0.24
Why this estimate?

Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 18% of model movement ↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 51% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 24% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
STU
-2
Sep 20, 2026 · 15:22 defeat
LADDER WIN CHANCE 50.7% Missed expected win Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.7% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence-0.51
Why this estimate?

Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement ↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
FRANK
-5
Sep 20, 2026 · 15:20 defeat
LADDER WIN CHANCE 48.8% Expected loss The underdog result held
Probability48.8% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence-0.49
Why this estimate?

Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Composition matchup lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 46% of model movement ↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement ↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 10% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
EL PRIMO
-4
Sep 20, 2026 · 15:19 defeat
LADDER WIN CHANCE 61.9% Missed expected win Favored, but the match was lost
Probability61.9% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence-0.62
Why this estimate?

Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement ↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 30% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
EL PRIMO
-4
Sep 20, 2026 · 15:17 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 62.6% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability62.6% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?

Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement ↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 33% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 15% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
EL PRIMO
+10
Sep 20, 2026 · 15:15 defeat
LADDER WIN CHANCE 50.0% Missed expected win Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?

Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement ↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
EL PRIMO
-4
Sep 20, 2026 · 15:12 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 50.0% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability50.0% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?

Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement ↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
EL PRIMO
+12
Sep 20, 2026 · 15:09 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 50.0% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability50.0% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?

Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement ↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
EL PRIMO
+11
Sep 20, 2026 · 15:07 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 49.8% Surprise win Won as the underdog
Probability49.8% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?

Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement ↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement ↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
EL PRIMO
+10
Sep 20, 2026 · 15:03 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 88.5% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability88.5% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence+0.11
Why this estimate?

Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.

↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 61% of model movement ↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 15% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
BOLT
+20
Sep 20, 2026 · 15:01 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 82.3% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability82.3% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence+0.18
Why this estimate?

Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.

↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 58% of model movement ↑Team balanceraised estimate · 20% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement ↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 2% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
BOLT
+19
Sep 20, 2026 · 15:00 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 90.1% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability90.1% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence+0.1
Why this estimate?

Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Composition matchup lowered it.

↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 62% of model movement ↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 15% of model movement ↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 2% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
BOLT
+18
Sep 20, 2026 · 14:59 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 91.1% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability91.1% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?

Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.

↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 64% of model movement ↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement ↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 1% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
BOLT
+17
Sep 20, 2026 · 14:58 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 55.7% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability55.7% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence+0.44
Why this estimate?

Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement ↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 36% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement ↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 6% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
SPIKE
+13
Sep 20, 2026 · 14:57 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 80.9% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability80.9% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence+0.19
Why this estimate?

Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.

↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 60% of model movement ↑Team balanceraised estimate · 21% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement ↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 2% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
SANDY
+20
Sep 20, 2026 · 14:47 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 90.1% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability90.1% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence+0.1
Why this estimate?

Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Composition matchup lowered it.

↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 62% of model movement ↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement ↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 2% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
SANDY
+20
Sep 20, 2026 · 14:46 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 91.1% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability91.1% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?

Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.

↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 63% of model movement ↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
SANDY
+19
Sep 20, 2026 · 14:45 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 91.2% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability91.2% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?

Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.

↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 63% of model movement ↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
SANDY
+18
Sep 20, 2026 · 14:44 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 92.1% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability92.1% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence+0.08
Why this estimate?

Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.

↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 65% of model movement ↑Team balanceraised estimate · 14% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
SANDY
+17
Sep 20, 2026 · 14:43 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 90.6% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability90.6% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?

Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.

↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 62% of model movement ↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
SANDY
+16
Sep 20, 2026 · 14:42 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 84.9% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability84.9% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence+0.15
Why this estimate?

Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.

↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 59% of model movement ↑Team balanceraised estimate · 19% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement ↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 1% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Backyard-Bowl
SANDY
+15
Sep 19, 2026 · 22:37 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 82.0% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability82.0% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence+0.18
Why this estimate?

Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Composition matchup lowered it.

↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 60% of model movement ↑Team balanceraised estimate · 19% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement ↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 3% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Sneaky-Fields
CHESTER
+20
Sep 19, 2026 · 22:36 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 92.7% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability92.7% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence+0.07
Why this estimate?

Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.

↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 65% of model movement ↑Team balanceraised estimate · 14% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement ↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 1% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Sneaky-Fields
CHESTER
+20
Sep 19, 2026 · 22:35 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 83.3% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability83.3% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence+0.17
Why this estimate?

Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.

↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 57% of model movement ↑Team balanceraised estimate · 22% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement ↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 3% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Sneaky-Fields
CHESTER
+19
Sep 19, 2026 · 22:33 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 53.9% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability53.9% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence+0.46
Why this estimate?

Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 46% of model movement ↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 33% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement ↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Sneaky-Fields
NORI
+11
Sep 19, 2026 · 22:31 victory
LADDER WIN CHANCE 55.7% Expected win The favorite converted
Probability55.7% ConfidenceNot separately estimated Freshness12d ago Score evidence+0.44
Why this estimate?

Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.

↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement ↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 36% of model movement ↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement ↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 7% of model movement
Faithful CatBoost SHAP contributions in model-score space. Explains the estimate—not what caused the result. · ladder-catboost-20260716
Brawl Ball Trophy Match
Sneaky-Fields
DOUG
+15
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