| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 · 21:02 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.2%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | -1 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 21:00 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
91.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability91.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.08
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 63% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 1% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +10 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 20:58 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | -1 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 20:56 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +11 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 · 20:53 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +10 | |
| Sep 13, 2026 · 22:23 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
88.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability88.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.12
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 58% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 2% of model movement
|
Heist
Trophy Match
|
Photic-Doom
|
- | |
| Sep 13, 2026 · 22:21 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
82.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability82.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.82
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 59% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 18% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 3% of model movement
|
Heist
Trophy Match
|
Photic-Doom
|
-1 | |
| Sep 13, 2026 · 22:16 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 63% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 16% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Lilygear-Lake
|
+19 | |
| Sep 13, 2026 · 22:14 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.1
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 60% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 1% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Lilygear-Lake
|
+18 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 05:24 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
75.5%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability75.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.76
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 55% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Grass-Knot
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 05:21 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Grass-Knot
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 05:19 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
66.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability66.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.34
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 05:16 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 05:13 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.6%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Grass-Knot
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 16:16 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 16:13 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Composition matchup raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 36% of model movement
↑Composition matchupraised estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 16:09 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 16:06 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability62.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 05:01 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.9%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability61.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.62
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 04:58 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.5%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 04:56 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.9%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 04:54 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 04:51 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 22:15 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 22:12 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.1%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 08:16 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 08:13 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 3% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 20% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 15% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 08:11 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
64.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability64.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.36
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 08:09 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.4%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability63.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Jungle Top | -2 | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 08:06 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
65.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability65.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.35
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Jungle Top | +12 |