| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 · 18:33 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
+10 | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 11:53 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
53.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability53.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence+0.47
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 58% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 18% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
- | - | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 11:55 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
38.1%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability38.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 37% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 11:52 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
51.1%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability51.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness10d ago
Score evidence-0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Grass-Knot
|
- |