| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 · 11:29 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability61.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 36% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
- | - | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 11:26 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
64.3%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability64.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.64
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
- | - | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 07:11 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
63.8%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability63.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.64
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | -10 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 07:10 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.7%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance and Composition matchup raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↑Composition matchupraised estimate · 3% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +8 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 07:08 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.7%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 46% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +8 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 07:06 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +8 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 · 07:05 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
69.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability69.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.3
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 48% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 4% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +8 | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 10:35 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
42.5%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability42.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.43
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 24% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Double-Decker
|
-3 | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 10:28 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.9%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 10:25 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.5%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability37.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 07:03 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.9%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 07:00 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 06:58 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.2%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 06:55 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 15:01 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
38.0%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability38.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 36% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 14:59 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 20:37 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.09
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 61% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 3% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Opening Move | +14 | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 20:36 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
83.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability83.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.17
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 61% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 21% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 4% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Opening Move | +13 | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 20:35 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
89.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability89.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.11
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 60% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 2% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Opening Move | +12 | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 20:34 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 46% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 4% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Opening Move | +10 | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 20:32 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Opening Move | -3 | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 20:29 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
19.0%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability19.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.81
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 19% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 68% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Opening Move | +15 | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 20:23 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
64.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability64.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.36
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 20:21 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.9%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability61.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.62
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 20:17 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
80.6%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability80.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.81
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 58% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 20% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 3% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 20:15 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 47% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 2% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 16% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 20:11 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 20:09 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
58.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability58.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.41
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- |