| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:37 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.8%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | - | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:34 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
66.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability66.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.34
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:31 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
34.9%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability34.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.35
Why this estimate?Team balance and Account experience raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↑Account experienceraised estimate · 2% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -8 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 18:31 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.4%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Beach-Ball
|
-8 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 12:51 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Beach-Ball
|
-8 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 12:49 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Beach-Ball
|
+11 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 18:11 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.8%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Spiraling-Out
|
+10 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 18:09 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.2%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Spiraling-Out
|
-8 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 18:07 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Spiraling-Out
|
+15 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 18:06 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.3%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 4% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Spiraling-Out
|
-8 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 18:03 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Spiraling-Out
|
-8 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 · 13:00 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.3%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 4% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Spiraling-Out
|
-8 | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 13:15 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.3%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 4% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sunny-Soccer
|
-5 | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 13:12 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sunny-Soccer
|
+10 | |
| Sep 15, 2026 · 13:10 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
60.8%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability60.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.39
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sunny-Soccer
|
+10 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 23:52 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
51.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability51.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 53% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 3% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
In Demand | +10 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 03:01 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.7%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -6 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 02:59 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -10 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 02:54 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
52.4%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability52.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.52
Why this estimate?Team balance and Composition matchup raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Composition matchupraised estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -8 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 02:52 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
52.4%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability52.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.52
Why this estimate?Team balance and Composition matchup raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Composition matchupraised estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -8 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 02:50 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
52.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability52.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.48
Why this estimate?Team balance and Composition matchup raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Composition matchupraised estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +11 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 02:48 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
52.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability52.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.48
Why this estimate?Team balance and Composition matchup raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Composition matchupraised estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 02:47 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
52.6%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability52.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.53
Why this estimate?Team balance and Composition matchup raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Composition matchupraised estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -8 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 02:46 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.8%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +13 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 02:45 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
52.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability52.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.48
Why this estimate?Team balance and Composition matchup raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Composition matchupraised estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +12 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 02:43 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 3% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +11 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 02:42 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
65.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability65.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.34
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +10 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 02:41 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
48.3%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability48.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.48
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 51% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -8 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 02:38 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
52.8%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability52.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.53
Why this estimate?Team balance and Composition matchup raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Composition matchupraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 2% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | -8 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 02:33 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
32.3%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability32.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.68
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 43% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +11 |