| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:45 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | -4 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:42 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:38 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | -4 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:35 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 50% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +11 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:32 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 48% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 7% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Knockout
Trophy Match
|
Goldarm Gulch | +10 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:22 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.2%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability36.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.64
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 34% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +14 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:19 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
69.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability69.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.31
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 53% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +13 | |
| Sep 25, 2026 · 21:17 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
90.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability90.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.1
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 66% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 4% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Bustling Business | +16 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 · 23:01 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
-2 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 · 19:36 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.2%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Beach-Ball
|
+15 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 17:26 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
33.9%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability33.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.34
Why this estimate?Team balance and Composition matchup raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 23% of model movement
↑Composition matchupraised estimate · 3% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 39% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-5 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 17:24 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
64.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability64.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.36
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 34% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+10 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 17:23 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
75.5%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability75.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.75
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 57% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-2 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 17:20 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
82.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability82.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.18
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 62% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 21% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 5% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+11 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 17:19 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.8%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability61.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+10 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 17:17 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.3%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
-3 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 · 17:16 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability61.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.39
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 38% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Backyard-Bowl
|
+17 | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 17:27 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 17:24 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.7%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 4% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 17:21 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 22:52 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.8%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability37.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.62
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 22:50 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.2%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability37.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.63
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 36% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 22:47 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.2%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 22:45 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability62.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.62
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 31% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 22:30 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
57.2%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability57.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.43
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 22:27 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.1%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 22:24 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
65.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability65.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.35
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 36% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 15% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 22:23 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.7%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence-0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 22:18 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
57.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability57.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.42
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 17% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 22:14 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability61.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness11d ago
Score evidence+0.39
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 33% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 16% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- |