| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 · 02:49 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
36.7%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability36.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.37
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 24% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 18, 2026 · 02:47 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 04:22 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
39.1%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability39.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.61
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 37% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 04:18 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.1%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 04:15 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.9%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 17, 2026 · 04:12 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
58.5%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability58.5%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.42
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 14, 2026 · 17:43 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.6%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability61.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.62
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 14, 2026 · 17:41 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 14, 2026 · 17:39 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.4%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 47% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 3% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 14, 2026 · 17:37 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.7%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- | |
| Sep 14, 2026 · 17:34 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.9%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 14, 2026 · 03:35 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 47% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 16% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 14, 2026 · 03:32 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.8%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability62.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.37
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Dueling-Beetles
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 04:58 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
68.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability68.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.31
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 47% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 04:51 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 04:48 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.9%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability61.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.62
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 39% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 04:44 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 04:40 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 04:34 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
39.3%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability39.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.61
Why this estimate?Team balance and Composition matchup raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 26% of model movement
↑Composition matchupraised estimate · 2% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 25% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 04:30 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
62.2%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability62.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.62
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 14% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 04:26 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.7%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability61.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 37% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 17:33 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 17:31 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.2%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.2%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 17:28 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 17:26 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 17:23 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
38.6%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability38.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.39
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 26% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 31% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 17:21 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
32.7%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability32.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.33
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 22% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 39% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 14:27 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.9%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.9%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 08, 2026 · 17:41 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.3%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability61.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.39
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 36% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 9% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Heist
Trophy Match
|
Hot-Potato
|
+11 | |
| Sep 08, 2026 · 17:38 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
61.6%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability61.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness9d ago
Score evidence+0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Account experience and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 35% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Heist
Trophy Match
|
Hot-Potato
|
+10 |