| Time | Result | Prediction | Mode | Map | Brawler | Trophy change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 · 21:18 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
38.1%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability38.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Brawler strength lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 36% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Spiraling-Out
|
-2 | |
| Sep 14, 2026 · 13:37 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Shooting-Star
|
- | |
| Sep 14, 2026 · 13:34 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
37.6%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability37.6%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.38
Why this estimate?Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler strength and Brawler progression lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Brawler strengthlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 14, 2026 · 13:32 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.8%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Super-Beach
|
- | |
| Sep 14, 2026 · 13:30 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 52% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Heist
Trophy Match
|
- | - | |
| Sep 13, 2026 · 20:36 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.7%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 49% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 7% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Grass-Knot
|
-5 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 22:27 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Stardust-Storm
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 22:25 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
51.4%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability51.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.49
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Mode and map context lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 48% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 36% of model movement
↓Mode and map contextlowered estimate · 5% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 19:07 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
67.8%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability67.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.32
Why this estimate?Brawler strength and Team balance raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 47% of model movement
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 10% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 6% of model movement
|
Hot Zone
Trophy Match
|
Dueling-Beetles
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 13:34 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
+10 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 02:26 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.1%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 41% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 02:23 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.3%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 40% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 29% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 11% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 02:19 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.8%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.8%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Hard-Rock-Mine
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 02:16 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.4%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.4%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Layer-Cake
|
- | |
| Sep 12, 2026 · 02:13 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.3%
Surprise win
Won as the underdog
Probability49.3%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.51
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 42% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 9% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 11, 2026 · 00:09 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 23:28 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Pinhole-Punt
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 23:24 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 43% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 30% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 12% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 23:22 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Missed expected win
Favored, but the match was lost
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 44% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 27% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 13% of model movement
|
Bounty
Trophy Match
|
Dry-Season
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 23:11 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.0%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.0%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 32% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 10% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 23:07 | victory |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
50.1%
Expected win
The favorite converted
Probability50.1%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence+0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Account experience lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 45% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 6% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 33% of model movement
↓Account experiencelowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Gem Grab
Trophy Match
|
Double-Swoosh
|
- | |
| Sep 10, 2026 · 23:05 | defeat |
LADDER WIN CHANCE
49.7%
Expected loss
The underdog result held
Probability49.7%
ConfidenceNot separately estimated
Freshness12d ago
Score evidence-0.5
Why this estimate?Team balance and Brawler strength raised the estimate; Brawler progression and Composition matchup lowered it.
↑Team balanceraised estimate · 47% of model movement
↑Brawler strengthraised estimate · 5% of model movement
↓Brawler progressionlowered estimate · 28% of model movement
↓Composition matchuplowered estimate · 8% of model movement
|
Brawl Ball
Trophy Match
|
Sneaky-Fields
|
- |